Traders assign a 69.5% implied probability that the Federal Reserve will not implement any rate hikes in 2026, driven by the ongoing disinflation trend and a stable labor market that have reduced pressure for tighter monetary policy. Recent inflation readings have continued moderating toward the 2% target, while employment data show resilience without overheating, aligning the market-implied rate path with a hold or further easing rather than reversal. This pricing reflects the Fed’s data-dependent stance following prior adjustments, with upcoming FOMC meetings and key releases such as CPI and nonfarm payrolls poised to influence any recalibration of expectations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$1,359,722 Vol.
$1,359,722 Vol.
Sì
$1,359,722 Vol.
$1,359,722 Vol.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 69.5% implied probability that the Federal Reserve will not implement any rate hikes in 2026, driven by the ongoing disinflation trend and a stable labor market that have reduced pressure for tighter monetary policy. Recent inflation readings have continued moderating toward the 2% target, while employment data show resilience without overheating, aligning the market-implied rate path with a hold or further easing rather than reversal. This pricing reflects the Fed’s data-dependent stance following prior adjustments, with upcoming FOMC meetings and key releases such as CPI and nonfarm payrolls poised to influence any recalibration of expectations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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