The Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75% through the April 2026 FOMC meeting, combined with April CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year and unemployment holding at 4.3%, underpins the 88.5% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027. Recent minutes highlight that a majority of officials see potential for policy firming if inflation remains persistently above target, while energy-driven price pressures and Middle East risks have reinforced a data-dependent stance without signs of acute financial stress or recession. The resilient labor market and solid economic activity have kept trader consensus aligned with the Fed’s current restrictive posture, though upcoming June CPI and employment releases plus the FOMC dot plot could test whether any softening in conditions alters the path.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$105,255 Vol.
$105,255 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$105,255 Vol.
$105,255 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75% through the April 2026 FOMC meeting, combined with April CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year and unemployment holding at 4.3%, underpins the 88.5% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027. Recent minutes highlight that a majority of officials see potential for policy firming if inflation remains persistently above target, while energy-driven price pressures and Middle East risks have reinforced a data-dependent stance without signs of acute financial stress or recession. The resilient labor market and solid economic activity have kept trader consensus aligned with the Fed’s current restrictive posture, though upcoming June CPI and employment releases plus the FOMC dot plot could test whether any softening in conditions alters the path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Mercato aperto: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Volume
$105,255Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75% through the April 2026 FOMC meeting, combined with April CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year and unemployment holding at 4.3%, underpins the 88.5% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027. Recent minutes highlight that a majority of officials see potential for policy firming if inflation remains persistently above target, while energy-driven price pressures and Middle East risks have reinforced a data-dependent stance without signs of acute financial stress or recession. The resilient labor market and solid economic activity have kept trader consensus aligned with the Fed’s current restrictive posture, though upcoming June CPI and employment releases plus the FOMC dot plot could test whether any softening in conditions alters the path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Volume
$105,255Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50–3.75% through the April 2026 FOMC meeting, combined with April CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year and unemployment holding at 4.3%, underpins the 88.5% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027. Recent minutes highlight that a majority of officials see potential for policy firming if inflation remains persistently above target, while energy-driven price pressures and Middle East risks have reinforced a data-dependent stance without signs of acute financial stress or recession. The resilient labor market and solid economic activity have kept trader consensus aligned with the Fed’s current restrictive posture, though upcoming June CPI and employment releases plus the FOMC dot plot could test whether any softening in conditions alters the path.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti