Eurozone inflation accelerated to 2.6% in March 2026, exceeding the ECB's 2% target and prompting the Governing Council to hold key interest rates unchanged at its March 19 meeting, including the deposit rate at 2%. ECB staff revised 2026 headline HICP inflation projections upward to 2.6% amid subdued growth forecasts of 0.9%, fueled by lingering energy price pressures from the recent Iran conflict ceasefire. Major banks like Morgan Stanley and IMF analysts now anticipate rate holds or hikes rather than cuts, reflecting trader consensus that persistent above-target inflation will preclude easing in 2026. The next policy decision on April 30 could reinforce this outlook absent a sharp inflation drop.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$25,285 Vol.
$25,285 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$25,285 Vol.
$25,285 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Eurozone inflation accelerated to 2.6% in March 2026, exceeding the ECB's 2% target and prompting the Governing Council to hold key interest rates unchanged at its March 19 meeting, including the deposit rate at 2%. ECB staff revised 2026 headline HICP inflation projections upward to 2.6% amid subdued growth forecasts of 0.9%, fueled by lingering energy price pressures from the recent Iran conflict ceasefire. Major banks like Morgan Stanley and IMF analysts now anticipate rate holds or hikes rather than cuts, reflecting trader consensus that persistent above-target inflation will preclude easing in 2026. The next policy decision on April 30 could reinforce this outlook absent a sharp inflation drop.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$25,285Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Eurozone inflation accelerated to 2.6% in March 2026, exceeding the ECB's 2% target and prompting the Governing Council to hold key interest rates unchanged at its March 19 meeting, including the deposit rate at 2%. ECB staff revised 2026 headline HICP inflation projections upward to 2.6% amid subdued growth forecasts of 0.9%, fueled by lingering energy price pressures from the recent Iran conflict ceasefire. Major banks like Morgan Stanley and IMF analysts now anticipate rate holds or hikes rather than cuts, reflecting trader consensus that persistent above-target inflation will preclude easing in 2026. The next policy decision on April 30 could reinforce this outlook absent a sharp inflation drop.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$25,285Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Eurozone inflation accelerated to 2.6% in March 2026, exceeding the ECB's 2% target and prompting the Governing Council to hold key interest rates unchanged at its March 19 meeting, including the deposit rate at 2%. ECB staff revised 2026 headline HICP inflation projections upward to 2.6% amid subdued growth forecasts of 0.9%, fueled by lingering energy price pressures from the recent Iran conflict ceasefire. Major banks like Morgan Stanley and IMF analysts now anticipate rate holds or hikes rather than cuts, reflecting trader consensus that persistent above-target inflation will preclude easing in 2026. The next policy decision on April 30 could reinforce this outlook absent a sharp inflation drop.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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