Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69% implied probability for no change in the Bank Rate at the June 18 MPC meeting, reflecting sticky headline CPI inflation at 3.0% in February 2026—unchanged from January and well above the 2% target—despite wage growth slowing to a five-year low of 3.8% in the three months to January. The March 19 MPC unanimously held rates at 3.75%, citing upside inflation risks including services prices at 4.3%, with market-implied paths sloping slightly higher through year-end. Cuts below 5% combined signal labor market softening via 5.2% unemployment, while a 19% chance of a 25 basis points hike stems from persistent price pressures. Watch March CPI on April 22 and April 30 MPC for shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDecisione della Banca d'Inghilterra a giugno?
Decisione della Banca d'Inghilterra a giugno?
Nessuna variazione 69%
Aumento di 25 punti base 19%
Riduzione di oltre 50 punti base 3.8%
Riduzione di 25 punti base <1%
$12,832 Vol.
$12,832 Vol.
18 giu 2026
Riduzione di oltre 50 punti base
4%
Riduzione di 25 punti base
1%
Nessuna variazione
69%
Aumento di 25 punti base
19%
Aumento di oltre 50 punti base
1%
Nessuna variazione 69%
Aumento di 25 punti base 19%
Riduzione di oltre 50 punti base 3.8%
Riduzione di 25 punti base <1%
$12,832 Vol.
$12,832 Vol.
18 giu 2026
Riduzione di oltre 50 punti base
$291 Vol.
4%
Riduzione di 25 punti base
$239 Vol.
1%
Nessuna variazione
$2,497 Vol.
69%
Aumento di 25 punti base
$9,596 Vol.
19%
Aumento di oltre 50 punti base
$209 Vol.
1%
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69% implied probability for no change in the Bank Rate at the June 18 MPC meeting, reflecting sticky headline CPI inflation at 3.0% in February 2026—unchanged from January and well above the 2% target—despite wage growth slowing to a five-year low of 3.8% in the three months to January. The March 19 MPC unanimously held rates at 3.75%, citing upside inflation risks including services prices at 4.3%, with market-implied paths sloping slightly higher through year-end. Cuts below 5% combined signal labor market softening via 5.2% unemployment, while a 19% chance of a 25 basis points hike stems from persistent price pressures. Watch March CPI on April 22 and April 30 MPC for shifts.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercato aperto: Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Volume
$12,832Data di fine
18 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69% implied probability for no change in the Bank Rate at the June 18 MPC meeting, reflecting sticky headline CPI inflation at 3.0% in February 2026—unchanged from January and well above the 2% target—despite wage growth slowing to a five-year low of 3.8% in the three months to January. The March 19 MPC unanimously held rates at 3.75%, citing upside inflation risks including services prices at 4.3%, with market-implied paths sloping slightly higher through year-end. Cuts below 5% combined signal labor market softening via 5.2% unemployment, while a 19% chance of a 25 basis points hike stems from persistent price pressures. Watch March CPI on April 22 and April 30 MPC for shifts.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$12,832Data di fine
18 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69% implied probability for no change in the Bank Rate at the June 18 MPC meeting, reflecting sticky headline CPI inflation at 3.0% in February 2026—unchanged from January and well above the 2% target—despite wage growth slowing to a five-year low of 3.8% in the three months to January. The March 19 MPC unanimously held rates at 3.75%, citing upside inflation risks including services prices at 4.3%, with market-implied paths sloping slightly higher through year-end. Cuts below 5% combined signal labor market softening via 5.2% unemployment, while a 19% chance of a 25 basis points hike stems from persistent price pressures. Watch March CPI on April 22 and April 30 MPC for shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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