**David Crowley holds a substantial lead in the Wisconsin gubernatorial race following his narrow Democratic primary victory on August 11.** Milwaukee County Executive Crowley upset progressive state Rep. Francesca Hong by roughly 3,000 votes after re-entering the contest with an endorsement from term-limited Gov. Tony Evers, consolidating establishment support in the open-seat contest. Republican nominee U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany secured his party’s nod with minimal opposition and backing from former President Trump. Post-primary surveys of likely voters, including a late-August Marquette University Law School poll, show Crowley ahead by five points (49-44), with independents breaking in his favor amid voter focus on cost-of-living concerns. Traders appear to view these polling trends and the Democratic primary consolidation as the dominant factors in the current implied probabilities ahead of the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Wisconsin
Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Wisconsin
$556,848 Vol.
$556,848 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
David Crowley (D)
83%
Tom Tiffany (R)
18%
$556,848 Vol.
$556,848 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
David Crowley (D)
$292,904 Vol.
83%
Tom Tiffany (R)
$263,944 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**David Crowley holds a substantial lead in the Wisconsin gubernatorial race following his narrow Democratic primary victory on August 11.** Milwaukee County Executive Crowley upset progressive state Rep. Francesca Hong by roughly 3,000 votes after re-entering the contest with an endorsement from term-limited Gov. Tony Evers, consolidating establishment support in the open-seat contest. Republican nominee U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany secured his party’s nod with minimal opposition and backing from former President Trump. Post-primary surveys of likely voters, including a late-August Marquette University Law School poll, show Crowley ahead by five points (49-44), with independents breaking in his favor amid voter focus on cost-of-living concerns. Traders appear to view these polling trends and the Democratic primary consolidation as the dominant factors in the current implied probabilities ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$556,848Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**David Crowley holds a substantial lead in the Wisconsin gubernatorial race following his narrow Democratic primary victory on August 11.** Milwaukee County Executive Crowley upset progressive state Rep. Francesca Hong by roughly 3,000 votes after re-entering the contest with an endorsement from term-limited Gov. Tony Evers, consolidating establishment support in the open-seat contest. Republican nominee U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany secured his party’s nod with minimal opposition and backing from former President Trump. Post-primary surveys of likely voters, including a late-August Marquette University Law School poll, show Crowley ahead by five points (49-44), with independents breaking in his favor amid voter focus on cost-of-living concerns. Traders appear to view these polling trends and the Democratic primary consolidation as the dominant factors in the current implied probabilities ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$556,848Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...**David Crowley holds a substantial lead in the Wisconsin gubernatorial race following his narrow Democratic primary victory on August 11.** Milwaukee County Executive Crowley upset progressive state Rep. Francesca Hong by roughly 3,000 votes after re-entering the contest with an endorsement from term-limited Gov. Tony Evers, consolidating establishment support in the open-seat contest. Republican nominee U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany secured his party’s nod with minimal opposition and backing from former President Trump. Post-primary surveys of likely voters, including a late-August Marquette University Law School poll, show Crowley ahead by five points (49-44), with independents breaking in his favor amid voter focus on cost-of-living concerns. Traders appear to view these polling trends and the Democratic primary consolidation as the dominant factors in the current implied probabilities ahead of the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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