Trader consensus prices "No" at 77.5% on President Trump nationalizing elections, reflecting entrenched constitutional barriers under Article I and the 10th Amendment that vest administration in states, requiring improbable congressional legislation or amendment for federal takeover. No official announcements, executive orders, or transition team signals indicate such plans amid focus on border security, cabinet confirmations, and economic priorities since the November 2024 victory. Recent Republican Senate and House majorities lack supermajority support for overriding states' rights, with no legislative proposals emerging in early 2025 sessions. Absent late-breaking policy shifts or court rulings, structural hurdles sustain trader skepticism on this low-priority issue.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourTrump va-t-il nationaliser les élections ?
Trump va-t-il nationaliser les élections ?
Oui
$12,491 Vol.
$12,491 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Oui
$12,491 Vol.
$12,491 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Trader consensus prices "No" at 77.5% on President Trump nationalizing elections, reflecting entrenched constitutional barriers under Article I and the 10th Amendment that vest administration in states, requiring improbable congressional legislation or amendment for federal takeover. No official announcements, executive orders, or transition team signals indicate such plans amid focus on border security, cabinet confirmations, and economic priorities since the November 2024 victory. Recent Republican Senate and House majorities lack supermajority support for overriding states' rights, with no legislative proposals emerging in early 2025 sessions. Absent late-breaking policy shifts or court rulings, structural hurdles sustain trader skepticism on this low-priority issue.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Feb 4, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
Volume
$12,491Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 4, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Trader consensus prices "No" at 77.5% on President Trump nationalizing elections, reflecting entrenched constitutional barriers under Article I and the 10th Amendment that vest administration in states, requiring improbable congressional legislation or amendment for federal takeover. No official announcements, executive orders, or transition team signals indicate such plans amid focus on border security, cabinet confirmations, and economic priorities since the November 2024 victory. Recent Republican Senate and House majorities lack supermajority support for overriding states' rights, with no legislative proposals emerging in early 2025 sessions. Absent late-breaking policy shifts or court rulings, structural hurdles sustain trader skepticism on this low-priority issue.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state. Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$12,491Date de fin
Dec 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 4, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 77.5% on President Trump nationalizing elections, reflecting entrenched constitutional barriers under Article I and the 10th Amendment that vest administration in states, requiring improbable congressional legislation or amendment for federal takeover. No official announcements, executive orders, or transition team signals indicate such plans amid focus on border security, cabinet confirmations, and economic priorities since the November 2024 victory. Recent Republican Senate and House majorities lack supermajority support for overriding states' rights, with no legislative proposals emerging in early 2025 sessions. Absent late-breaking policy shifts or court rulings, structural hurdles sustain trader skepticism on this low-priority issue.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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