No Iranian official or state-linked entity, including the IRGC, has claimed responsibility for the October 1 knife attack on Israeli embassy staff in Oslo, Norway, where three guards were injured and a 21-year-old Norwegian-Pakistani suspect faces terrorism charges. With over a week elapsed amid Israel-Iran escalations—including recent missile exchanges—traders reflect near-certain consensus at 99% against a claim, as Tehran typically publicizes proxy or direct actions promptly via familiar channels. Norwegian authorities report no foreign backing, aligning with lone-actor patterns. Realistic shifts could stem from late-breaking intelligence revelations or an improbable Tehran admission during ongoing probes, though procedural and diplomatic barriers render this unlikely before market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourL'Iran revendiquera-t-il la responsabilité de l'attaque de l'ambassade d'Oslo
L'Iran revendiquera-t-il la responsabilité de l'attaque de l'ambassade d'Oslo
Oui
$295,708 Vol.
$295,708 Vol.
Oui
$295,708 Vol.
$295,708 Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran explicitly claims responsibility for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo that occurred on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Claims can come from statements by the Iranian government, military, or intelligence services.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran explicitly claims responsibility for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo that occurred on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Claims can come from statements by the Iranian government, military, or intelligence services.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran explicitly claims responsibility for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo that occurred on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Claims can come from statements by the Iranian government, military, or intelligence services.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Claims can come from statements by the Iranian government, military, or intelligence services.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 7, 2026, 9:27 PM ET
Volume
$295,708Marché ouvert
Mar 7, 2026, 9:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran explicitly claims responsibility for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo that occurred on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Claims can come from statements by the Iranian government, military, or intelligence services.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran explicitly claims responsibility for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo that occurred on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Claims can come from statements by the Iranian government, military, or intelligence services.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran explicitly claims responsibility for the attack near the U.S. Embassy in Oslo that occurred on March 7, 2026, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Claims can come from statements by the Iranian government, military, or intelligence services.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Claims can come from statements by the Iranian government, military, or intelligence services.
Ambiguous statements which imply responsibility but which do not directly claim it will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Iranian government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$295,708Marché ouvert
Mar 7, 2026, 9:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...No Iranian official or state-linked entity, including the IRGC, has claimed responsibility for the October 1 knife attack on Israeli embassy staff in Oslo, Norway, where three guards were injured and a 21-year-old Norwegian-Pakistani suspect faces terrorism charges. With over a week elapsed amid Israel-Iran escalations—including recent missile exchanges—traders reflect near-certain consensus at 99% against a claim, as Tehran typically publicizes proxy or direct actions promptly via familiar channels. Norwegian authorities report no foreign backing, aligning with lone-actor patterns. Realistic shifts could stem from late-breaking intelligence revelations or an improbable Tehran admission during ongoing probes, though procedural and diplomatic barriers render this unlikely before market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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