Trader sentiment on Polymarket leans toward gold (GC futures) reaching the specified threshold by March 31, with yes shares trading at around 65% implied probability, reflecting bets on continued Fed rate cuts amid sticky inflation. Current spot gold hovers near $2,650/oz, up 28% YTD, fueled by a weakening U.S. dollar (DXY at 101) and robust central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes annually. Key upside catalysts include softer CPI data on February 12 and the March 18-19 FOMC meeting, where markets price a 75% chance of a 25bps cut per CME FedWatch. Downside risks stem from stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs reports or escalating Middle East de-escalation reducing safe-haven demand; watch $2,700 resistance for breakout confirmation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourL'or (GC) atteindra-t-il __ d'ici la fin du mois de mars ?
L'or (GC) atteindra-t-il __ d'ici la fin du mois de mars ?
$1,868,771 Vol.
↑ 10 000 $
<1%
↑ 7 000 $
<1%
↑ 6 600 $
<1%
↑ 6 400 $
1%
↑ 6 200 $
<1%
↑ 6 000 $
1%
↑ 5 800 $
1%
↑ 5 600 $
1%
↑ 5 500 $
1%
↑ 5 400 $
2%
↓ 4 500 $
78%
↓ 4 300 $
35%
↓ 4 000 $
9%
↓ 3 600 $
1%
↓ 3 000 $
1%
$1,868,771 Vol.
↑ 10 000 $
<1%
↑ 7 000 $
<1%
↑ 6 600 $
<1%
↑ 6 400 $
1%
↑ 6 200 $
<1%
↑ 6 000 $
1%
↑ 5 800 $
1%
↑ 5 600 $
1%
↑ 5 500 $
1%
↑ 5 400 $
2%
↓ 4 500 $
78%
↓ 4 300 $
35%
↓ 4 000 $
9%
↓ 3 600 $
1%
↓ 3 000 $
1%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Marché ouvert : Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket leans toward gold (GC futures) reaching the specified threshold by March 31, with yes shares trading at around 65% implied probability, reflecting bets on continued Fed rate cuts amid sticky inflation. Current spot gold hovers near $2,650/oz, up 28% YTD, fueled by a weakening U.S. dollar (DXY at 101) and robust central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes annually. Key upside catalysts include softer CPI data on February 12 and the March 18-19 FOMC meeting, where markets price a 75% chance of a 25bps cut per CME FedWatch. Downside risks stem from stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs reports or escalating Middle East de-escalation reducing safe-haven demand; watch $2,700 resistance for breakout confirmation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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