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Politique·Congrès

Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?

Market icon
Politique·Congrès

Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$176,495 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$176,495 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government, within 45 days of the current government shutdown ending, begins implementing a policy under which both furloughed and excepted civilian federal employees will receive full back pay for the entire period of the current government shutdown. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Furloughed and excepted civilian employees refers to employees of federal agencies funded by annual appropriations who have either been furloughed on account of the lapse in appropriations or are excepted from such a furlough and are able to work without pay during the lapse. Uniformed military personnel, U.S. Postal Service employees, government contractors, or other employees of the federal government whose pay is not dependent upon annual appropriations are excluded. The shutdown will be considered to have ended if the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is not shut down due to a lapse in appropriations. The day following any such announcement will be day 1 of the 45 day count. An official announcement of the commenced implementation of a policy that both furloughed and excepted federal employees will receive full back pay for the entire period of the government shutdown or a consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a policy is being implemented will both qualify for resolution, even if federal workers do not receive full back pay within this market’s timeframe. Informal announcements or announcements of intent to implement such a policy will not count. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government, within 45 days of the current government shutdown ending, begins implementing a policy under which both furloughed and excepted civilian federal employees will receive full back pay for the entire period of the current government shutdown. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Furloughed and excepted civilian employees refers to employees of federal agencies funded by annual appropriations who have either been furloughed on account of the lapse in appropriations or are excepted from such a furlough and are able to work without pay during the lapse. Uniformed military personnel, U.S. Postal Service employees, government contractors, or other employees of the federal government whose pay is not dependent upon annual appropriations are excluded.

The shutdown will be considered to have ended if the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is not shut down due to a lapse in appropriations. The day following any such announcement will be day 1 of the 45 day count.

An official announcement of the commenced implementation of a policy that both furloughed and excepted federal employees will receive full back pay for the entire period of the government shutdown or a consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a policy is being implemented will both qualify for resolution, even if federal workers do not receive full back pay within this market’s timeframe. Informal announcements or announcements of intent to implement such a policy will not count.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$176,495
Marché ouvert
Nov 7, 2025, 7:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government, within 45 days of the current government shutdown ending, begins implementing a policy under which both furloughed and excepted civilian federal employees will receive full back pay for the entire period of the current government shutdown. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Furloughed and excepted civilian employees refers to employees of federal agencies funded by annual appropriations who have either been furloughed on account of the lapse in appropriations or are excepted from such a furlough and are able to work without pay during the lapse. Uniformed military personnel, U.S. Postal Service employees, government contractors, or other employees of the federal government whose pay is not dependent upon annual appropriations are excluded. The shutdown will be considered to have ended if the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is not shut down due to a lapse in appropriations. The day following any such announcement will be day 1 of the 45 day count. An official announcement of the commenced implementation of a policy that both furloughed and excepted federal employees will receive full back pay for the entire period of the government shutdown or a consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a policy is being implemented will both qualify for resolution, even if federal workers do not receive full back pay within this market’s timeframe. Informal announcements or announcements of intent to implement such a policy will not count. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government, within 45 days of the current government shutdown ending, begins implementing a policy under which both furloughed and excepted civilian federal employees will receive full back pay for the entire period of the current government shutdown. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Furloughed and excepted civilian employees refers to employees of federal agencies funded by annual appropriations who have either been furloughed on account of the lapse in appropriations or are excepted from such a furlough and are able to work without pay during the lapse. Uniformed military personnel, U.S. Postal Service employees, government contractors, or other employees of the federal government whose pay is not dependent upon annual appropriations are excluded. The shutdown will be considered to have ended if the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is not shut down due to a lapse in appropriations. The day following any such announcement will be day 1 of the 45 day count. An official announcement of the commenced implementation of a policy that both furloughed and excepted federal employees will receive full back pay for the entire period of the government shutdown or a consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a policy is being implemented will both qualify for resolution, even if federal workers do not receive full back pay within this market’s timeframe. Informal announcements or announcements of intent to implement such a policy will not count. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government, within 45 days of the current government shutdown ending, begins implementing a policy under which both furloughed and excepted civilian federal employees will receive full back pay for the entire period of the current government shutdown. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Furloughed and excepted civilian employees refers to employees of federal agencies funded by annual appropriations who have either been furloughed on account of the lapse in appropriations or are excepted from such a furlough and are able to work without pay during the lapse. Uniformed military personnel, U.S. Postal Service employees, government contractors, or other employees of the federal government whose pay is not dependent upon annual appropriations are excluded.

The shutdown will be considered to have ended if the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is not shut down due to a lapse in appropriations. The day following any such announcement will be day 1 of the 45 day count.

An official announcement of the commenced implementation of a policy that both furloughed and excepted federal employees will receive full back pay for the entire period of the government shutdown or a consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a policy is being implemented will both qualify for resolution, even if federal workers do not receive full back pay within this market’s timeframe. Informal announcements or announcements of intent to implement such a policy will not count.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$176,495
Marché ouvert
Nov 7, 2025, 7:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government, within 45 days of the current government shutdown ending, begins implementing a policy under which both furloughed and excepted civilian federal employees will receive full back pay for the entire period of the current government shutdown. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Furloughed and excepted civilian employees refers to employees of federal agencies funded by annual appropriations who have either been furloughed on account of the lapse in appropriations or are excepted from such a furlough and are able to work without pay during the lapse. Uniformed military personnel, U.S. Postal Service employees, government contractors, or other employees of the federal government whose pay is not dependent upon annual appropriations are excluded. The shutdown will be considered to have ended if the U.S. Office of Personnel Management (OPM) announces that the U.S. federal government is not shut down due to a lapse in appropriations. The day following any such announcement will be day 1 of the 45 day count. An official announcement of the commenced implementation of a policy that both furloughed and excepted federal employees will receive full back pay for the entire period of the government shutdown or a consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a policy is being implemented will both qualify for resolution, even if federal workers do not receive full back pay within this market’s timeframe. Informal announcements or announcements of intent to implement such a policy will not count. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

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Questions fréquentes

« Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket où les traders achètent et vendent des parts « Oui » ou « Non » selon qu'ils estiment que cet événement se produira ou non. La probabilité actuelle selon la communauté est de 100% pour « Yes ». Par exemple, si « Oui » est coté à 100¢, le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes changent en permanence à mesure que les traders réagissent aux nouveaux développements et informations. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown? » a généré $176.5K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Nov 8, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown? », choisissez simplement si vous pensez que la réponse est « Oui » ou « Non ». Chaque côté a un prix actuel qui reflète la probabilité implicite du marché. Entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » et que le résultat se résout comme « Oui », chaque part rapporte $1. S'il se résout comme « Non », vos parts « Oui » rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts à tout moment avant la résolution pour sécuriser un gain ou limiter une perte.

La probabilité actuelle pour « Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown? » est de 100% pour « Yes ». Cela signifie que la communauté Polymarket estime actuellement qu'il y a une probabilité de 100% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel sur la base de transactions réelles, fournissant un signal continuellement actualisé de ce que le marché attend.

Les règles de résolution de « Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.