Market icon

Will courts block Trump's National Guard deployment by Friday?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$40,935 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. court issues an order that blocks, restrains, or otherwise prohibits the federal deployment of the National Guard to Los Angeles by June 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any official court action that temporarily halts, limits, or permanently blocks the implementation of the National Guard deployment will qualify, including preliminary injunctions, temporary restraining orders, or final rulings.

The deployment must be blocked specifically on the basis of its federalization or use in response to the ongoing unrest in Los Angeles. Court orders that merely address related matters (e.g., conduct of individual troops or general use-of-force guidelines) without restricting the deployment itself will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from U.S. courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$40,935
Date de fin
Jun 13, 2025
Créé le
Jun 9, 2025, 3:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. court issues an order that blocks, restrains, or otherwise prohibits the federal deployment of the National Guard to Los Angeles by June 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any official court action that temporarily halts, limits, or permanently blocks the implementation of the National Guard deployment will qualify, including preliminary injunctions, temporary restraining orders, or final rulings. The deployment must be blocked specifically on the basis of its federalization or use in response to the ongoing unrest in Los Angeles. Court orders that merely address related matters (e.g., conduct of individual troops or general use-of-force guidelines) without restricting the deployment itself will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from U.S. courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will courts block Trump's National Guard deployment by Friday?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will courts block Trump's National Guard deployment by Friday?" has generated $40.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will courts block Trump's National Guard deployment by Friday?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will courts block Trump's National Guard deployment by Friday?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will courts block Trump's National Guard deployment by Friday?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Will courts block Trump's National Guard deployment by Friday?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$40,935 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. court issues an order that blocks, restrains, or otherwise prohibits the federal deployment of the National Guard to Los Angeles by June 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any official court action that temporarily halts, limits, or permanently blocks the implementation of the National Guard deployment will qualify, including preliminary injunctions, temporary restraining orders, or final rulings.

The deployment must be blocked specifically on the basis of its federalization or use in response to the ongoing unrest in Los Angeles. Court orders that merely address related matters (e.g., conduct of individual troops or general use-of-force guidelines) without restricting the deployment itself will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from U.S. courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$40,935
Date de fin
Jun 13, 2025
Créé le
Jun 9, 2025, 3:02 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. court issues an order that blocks, restrains, or otherwise prohibits the federal deployment of the National Guard to Los Angeles by June 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any official court action that temporarily halts, limits, or permanently blocks the implementation of the National Guard deployment will qualify, including preliminary injunctions, temporary restraining orders, or final rulings. The deployment must be blocked specifically on the basis of its federalization or use in response to the ongoing unrest in Los Angeles. Court orders that merely address related matters (e.g., conduct of individual troops or general use-of-force guidelines) without restricting the deployment itself will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from U.S. courts, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will courts block Trump's National Guard deployment by Friday?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will courts block Trump's National Guard deployment by Friday?" has generated $40.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 9, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will courts block Trump's National Guard deployment by Friday?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will courts block Trump's National Guard deployment by Friday?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will courts block Trump's National Guard deployment by Friday?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.