Market icon
Tech·Apple

Apple publiera-t-elle une nouvelle version de l'Apple TV d'ici le 31 mars ?

Market icon
Tech·Apple

Apple publiera-t-elle une nouvelle version de l'Apple TV d'ici le 31 mars ?

Oui

2% chance
Polymarket
NEW

Oui

2% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Apple TV product by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "Apple TV" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple TV, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple TV product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple TV 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple TV and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor. In order to be considered released, the product must be officially announced by Apple, or otherwise available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone, for example during a WWDC event, will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 98.4% implied probability to No for a new Apple TV hardware release by March 31, driven by Apple's complete lack of official announcements, teasers, or credible supply chain leaks signaling any such timeline. The last major Apple TV 4K (3rd generation) launched in late 2022, aligning with Apple's multi-year hardware cycles typically tied to fall events rather than spring. Recent focus has centered on Vision Pro expansions and rumored March iPad updates, with no developer filings or FCC certifications hinting at Apple TV readiness. While a surprise unannounced drop or production acceleration could theoretically shift odds, these scenarios clash with Apple's structured product rollout history and carry minimal realistic weight.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Apple TV product by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying product must be named "Apple TV" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple TV, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple TV product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple TV 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple TV and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.

In order to be considered released, the product must be officially announced by Apple, or otherwise available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone, for example during a WWDC event, will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,606
Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 12, 2025, 6:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Apple TV product by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be named "Apple TV" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple TV, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple TV product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple TV 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple TV and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor. In order to be considered released, the product must be officially announced by Apple, or otherwise available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone, for example during a WWDC event, will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 98.4% implied probability to No for a new Apple TV hardware release by March 31, driven by Apple's complete lack of official announcements, teasers, or credible supply chain leaks signaling any such timeline. The last major Apple TV 4K (3rd generation) launched in late 2022, aligning with Apple's multi-year hardware cycles typically tied to fall events rather than spring. Recent focus has centered on Vision Pro expansions and rumored March iPad updates, with no developer filings or FCC certifications hinting at Apple TV readiness. While a surprise unannounced drop or production acceleration could theoretically shift odds, these scenarios clash with Apple's structured product rollout history and carry minimal realistic weight.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Apple TV product by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying product must be named "Apple TV" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple TV, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple TV product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple TV 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple TV and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.

In order to be considered released, the product must be officially announced by Apple, or otherwise available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone, for example during a WWDC event, will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,606
Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 12, 2025, 6:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Questions fréquentes

« Apple publiera-t-elle une nouvelle version de l'Apple TV d'ici le 31 mars ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Apple publiera-t-elle une nouvelle version de l'Apple TV d'ici le 31 mars ? » à 2%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 2¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 2% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Apple publiera-t-elle une nouvelle version de l'Apple TV d'ici le 31 mars ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Dec 12, 2025. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Apple publiera-t-elle une nouvelle version de l'Apple TV d'ici le 31 mars ? », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

C'est un marché très ouvert. Le leader actuel pour « Apple publiera-t-elle une nouvelle version de l'Apple TV d'ici le 31 mars ? » est « Apple publiera-t-elle une nouvelle version de l'Apple TV d'ici le 31 mars ? » à seulement 2%. Aucun résultat ne dominant clairement, les traders voient cela comme très incertain, ce qui peut présenter des opportunités de trading uniques. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel, alors ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Apple publiera-t-elle une nouvelle version de l'Apple TV d'ici le 31 mars ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.