OpenAI's GPT-5.4 model commands 100% trader consensus as the best AI for coding on March 31, propelled by its state-of-the-art performance across key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (80%) and Terminal-Bench 2.0 (75.1%), where specialized Codex variants excel in agentic tasks such as multi-step reasoning and real-world software engineering. Released March 5, this large language model has sustained a narrow lead over Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 (80.8% SWE-bench but trailing in composites) and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview, reflecting developer acclaim for superior code generation and tool integration in arenas like Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (tied top at 57). While prediction markets aggregate skin-in-the-game wisdom, a last-minute leaderboard update or surprise rival release could challenge this positioning, though none materialized today.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOpenAI 100.0%
Google <1%
Z.ai <1%
DeepSeek <1%
$1,351,043 Vol.
$1,351,043 Vol.
31 mars 2026
Non
OpenAI
Oui
Z.ai
Non
DeepSeek
Non
Mistral
Non
Anthropic
Non
Alibaba
Non
xAI
Non
Moonshot
Non
OpenAI 100.0%
Google <1%
Z.ai <1%
DeepSeek <1%
$1,351,043 Vol.
$1,351,043 Vol.
31 mars 2026
$124,134 Vol.
Non
OpenAI
$193,398 Vol.
Oui
Z.ai
$125,315 Vol.
Non
DeepSeek
$217,171 Vol.
Non
Mistral
$161,221 Vol.
Non
Anthropic
$210,114 Vol.
Non
Alibaba
$79,517 Vol.
Non
xAI
$149,261 Vol.
Non
Moonshot
$90,912 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.OpenAI's GPT-5.4 model commands 100% trader consensus as the best AI for coding on March 31, propelled by its state-of-the-art performance across key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (80%) and Terminal-Bench 2.0 (75.1%), where specialized Codex variants excel in agentic tasks such as multi-step reasoning and real-world software engineering. Released March 5, this large language model has sustained a narrow lead over Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 (80.8% SWE-bench but trailing in composites) and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview, reflecting developer acclaim for superior code generation and tool integration in arenas like Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (tied top at 57). While prediction markets aggregate skin-in-the-game wisdom, a last-minute leaderboard update or surprise rival release could challenge this positioning, though none materialized today.
This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Dec 12, 2025, 1:29 PM ET
Volume
$1,351,043Date de fin
31 mars 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 12, 2025, 1:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.OpenAI's GPT-5.4 model commands 100% trader consensus as the best AI for coding on March 31, propelled by its state-of-the-art performance across key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (80%) and Terminal-Bench 2.0 (75.1%), where specialized Codex variants excel in agentic tasks such as multi-step reasoning and real-world software engineering. Released March 5, this large language model has sustained a narrow lead over Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 (80.8% SWE-bench but trailing in composites) and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview, reflecting developer acclaim for superior code generation and tool integration in arenas like Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (tied top at 57). While prediction markets aggregate skin-in-the-game wisdom, a last-minute leaderboard update or surprise rival release could challenge this positioning, though none materialized today.
This market will resolve to the company that owns the model with the top LiveBench “coding average” score on the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/) on March 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$1,351,043Date de fin
31 mars 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 12, 2025, 1:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
OpenAI's GPT-5.4 model commands 100% trader consensus as the best AI for coding on March 31, propelled by its state-of-the-art performance across key benchmarks like SWE-bench Verified (80%) and Terminal-Bench 2.0 (75.1%), where specialized Codex variants excel in agentic tasks such as multi-step reasoning and real-world software engineering. Released March 5, this large language model has sustained a narrow lead over Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 (80.8% SWE-bench but trailing in composites) and Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview, reflecting developer acclaim for superior code generation and tool integration in arenas like Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (tied top at 57). While prediction markets aggregate skin-in-the-game wisdom, a last-minute leaderboard update or surprise rival release could challenge this positioning, though none materialized today.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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