Trump's prolific Truth Social activity and scheduled campaign appearances remain the key drivers of trader consensus for his statements during the week of March 22, with odds reflecting his consistent focus on election integrity, border security, and economic critiques of the Biden administration. Recent posts criticizing federal indictments and praising primary wins have reinforced patterns favoring provocative phrasing on legal battles, while a March 22 fundraiser in Florida heightened expectations for off-the-cuff remarks. No major rallies are confirmed, but daily social media output and potential media hits could shift probabilities; traders weigh his historical tendency for repetition against evolving news like Supreme Court oral arguments on immunity, underscoring the market's sensitivity to real-time announcements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$128,005 Vol.
Too Big to Rig
98%
Finish the Job
16%
Nancy / Pelosi
13%
Khamenei
11%
Affair
9%
Doug / Burgum
9%
No Inflation
8%
What's Up
8%
Armada
7%
Claude / Anthropic
6%
Egghead
5%
Migrant Crime
4%
Cure to Cancer
4%
Democrat Shutdown
4%
Crypto / Bitcoin
4%
$128,005 Vol.
Too Big to Rig
98%
Finish the Job
16%
Nancy / Pelosi
13%
Khamenei
11%
Affair
9%
Doug / Burgum
9%
No Inflation
8%
What's Up
8%
Armada
7%
Claude / Anthropic
6%
Egghead
5%
Migrant Crime
4%
Cure to Cancer
4%
Democrat Shutdown
4%
Crypto / Bitcoin
4%
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 13, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's prolific Truth Social activity and scheduled campaign appearances remain the key drivers of trader consensus for his statements during the week of March 22, with odds reflecting his consistent focus on election integrity, border security, and economic critiques of the Biden administration. Recent posts criticizing federal indictments and praising primary wins have reinforced patterns favoring provocative phrasing on legal battles, while a March 22 fundraiser in Florida heightened expectations for off-the-cuff remarks. No major rallies are confirmed, but daily social media output and potential media hits could shift probabilities; traders weigh his historical tendency for repetition against evolving news like Supreme Court oral arguments on immunity, underscoring the market's sensitivity to real-time announcements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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