Trump's prolific Truth Social posts and campaign trail rhetoric continue to anchor trader sentiment for statements during the March 22 week, with implied probabilities favoring recurring themes like election integrity claims and critiques of legal proceedings against him. Recent catalysts include his March 20 posts attacking Judge Merchan's hush money case scheduling and renewed immunity arguments post-Supreme Court hints, alongside a Georgia election interference hearing echo. Traders weigh his pattern of responding to news cycles, as seen in prior weeks' 70%+ hit rate on "rigged election" phrasing. Upcoming Fox News town hall on March 20 aftermath and potential rallies could prompt matching declarations, though his schedule remains fluid amid trials.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$127,613 Vol.
Nancy / Pelosi
15%
Khamenei
16%
Finish the Job
12%
Armada
12%
What's Up
11%
Claude / Anthropic
9%
No Inflation
8%
Doug / Burgum
7%
Cure to Cancer
7%
Crypto / Bitcoin
7%
Egghead
7%
Democrat Shutdown
6%
Affair
4%
Migrant Crime
2%
$127,613 Vol.
Nancy / Pelosi
15%
Khamenei
16%
Finish the Job
12%
Armada
12%
What's Up
11%
Claude / Anthropic
9%
No Inflation
8%
Doug / Burgum
7%
Cure to Cancer
7%
Crypto / Bitcoin
7%
Egghead
7%
Democrat Shutdown
6%
Affair
4%
Migrant Crime
2%
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 13, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Yes
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Yes
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's prolific Truth Social posts and campaign trail rhetoric continue to anchor trader sentiment for statements during the March 22 week, with implied probabilities favoring recurring themes like election integrity claims and critiques of legal proceedings against him. Recent catalysts include his March 20 posts attacking Judge Merchan's hush money case scheduling and renewed immunity arguments post-Supreme Court hints, alongside a Georgia election interference hearing echo. Traders weigh his pattern of responding to news cycles, as seen in prior weeks' 70%+ hit rate on "rigged election" phrasing. Upcoming Fox News town hall on March 20 aftermath and potential rallies could prompt matching declarations, though his schedule remains fluid amid trials.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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