President Trump's extensive public schedule in March 2026, including a March 9 press conference, address to the House Republican Members Issues Conference, bilateral meeting on March 19, remarks to farmers on March 28, and FII Priority Summit appearance, drove trader focus on his verbal rhetoric across speeches and events. Polymarket traders assessed probabilities for 32 specific phrases—ranging from policy terms like "TrumpRX" and "Bitcoin" to names such as "Netanyahu" and "Barack Hussein Obama"—based on audio/video transcripts, excluding Truth Social posts under strict verbal-only resolution rules. With the market now in review post-March 31 deadline, disputes over qualifying mentions amid high $1.2 million volume highlight uncertainties in confirmation, while his characteristic nicknames and boasts shaped crowd wisdom on likely utterances.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$1,212,988 Vol.
Third term
<1%
$1,212,988 Vol.
Third term
<1%
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Marché ouvert : Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Yes
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Yes
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Yes
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Yes
President Trump's extensive public schedule in March 2026, including a March 9 press conference, address to the House Republican Members Issues Conference, bilateral meeting on March 19, remarks to farmers on March 28, and FII Priority Summit appearance, drove trader focus on his verbal rhetoric across speeches and events. Polymarket traders assessed probabilities for 32 specific phrases—ranging from policy terms like "TrumpRX" and "Bitcoin" to names such as "Netanyahu" and "Barack Hussein Obama"—based on audio/video transcripts, excluding Truth Social posts under strict verbal-only resolution rules. With the market now in review post-March 31 deadline, disputes over qualifying mentions amid high $1.2 million volume highlight uncertainties in confirmation, while his characteristic nicknames and boasts shaped crowd wisdom on likely utterances.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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