Trump's $175 million bond filing on March 25 in the New York civil fraud case has emerged as the dominant catalyst shaping trader sentiment for his Truth Social posts during March 23-29, with implied probabilities favoring heavy emphasis on legal defenses and attacks on AG Letitia James. Recent posts already intensified criticism of Judge Arthur Engoron and state officials following the appellate ruling, aligning with Trump's historical pattern where over 70% of weekly content addresses grievances amid 34 felony counts in the hush money probe. Absent major campaign events, traders price in continued focus on judicial bias claims and fundraising appeals, though Biden policy responses or trial scheduling updates could introduce variance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourNATO
75%
Nasty
37%
Boeing
26%
Ballroom
30%
CNN Fake News / Fake News CNN
33%
Panican
33%
Free Tina Peters
37%
Peace Through Strength
72%
Epic Fury
52%
Bully of the Middle East
27%
Trump derangement / Trump deranged
46%
Excursion
28%
FBI
57%
Evil Empire
26%
Fool
44%
Ayatollah / Khamenei
48%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
38%
Democrat Shutdown
46%
Bomb / Bomber
37%
Impeach / Impeachment
31%
Terrorist
70%
Congresswoman
49%
Texas
48%
Spain
27%
$139 Vol.
NATO
75%
Nasty
37%
Boeing
26%
Ballroom
30%
CNN Fake News / Fake News CNN
33%
Panican
33%
Free Tina Peters
37%
Peace Through Strength
72%
Epic Fury
52%
Bully of the Middle East
27%
Trump derangement / Trump deranged
46%
Excursion
28%
FBI
57%
Evil Empire
26%
Fool
44%
Ayatollah / Khamenei
48%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
38%
Democrat Shutdown
46%
Bomb / Bomber
37%
Impeach / Impeachment
31%
Terrorist
70%
Congresswoman
49%
Texas
48%
Spain
27%
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's $175 million bond filing on March 25 in the New York civil fraud case has emerged as the dominant catalyst shaping trader sentiment for his Truth Social posts during March 23-29, with implied probabilities favoring heavy emphasis on legal defenses and attacks on AG Letitia James. Recent posts already intensified criticism of Judge Arthur Engoron and state officials following the appellate ruling, aligning with Trump's historical pattern where over 70% of weekly content addresses grievances amid 34 felony counts in the hush money probe. Absent major campaign events, traders price in continued focus on judicial bias claims and fundraising appeals, though Biden policy responses or trial scheduling updates could introduce variance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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