What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by February 28?
$41,344 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026
Nuclear
$15,044 Vol.
25%
Nuclear
$15,044 Vol.
25%
Tehran
$13,979 Vol.
21%
Tehran
$13,979 Vol.
21%
Oil/Gas
$12,321 Vol.
9%
Oil/Gas
$12,321 Vol.
9%
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel or the United States carry out a kinetic military strike against the municipality of Tehran or any target within the municipality, between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
Israeli missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market, even if it enters Tehran’s airspace and its wreckage lands in Tehran.
The resolution source for this market is official statements from the U.S., Israeli, and Iranian governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel or the United States carry out a kinetic military strike against the municipality of Tehran or any target within the municipality, between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
Israeli missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market, even if it enters Tehran’s airspace and its wreckage lands in Tehran.
The resolution source for this market is official statements from the U.S., Israeli, and Iranian governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. or Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
Israeli missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market, even if it enters Tehran’s airspace and its wreckage lands in Tehran.
The resolution source for this market is official statements from the U.S., Israeli, and Iranian governments, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Créé le : Jan 28, 2026, 10:24 PM ET
Volume
$41,344Date de fin
Feb 28, 2026Créé le
Jan 28, 2026, 10:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by February 28?
$41,344 Vol.
Nuclear
$15,044 Vol.
25%
Tehran
$13,979 Vol.
21%
Oil/Gas
$12,321 Vol.
9%
À propos
Volume
$41,344Date de fin
Feb 28, 2026Créé le
Jan 28, 2026, 10:24 PM ETResolver
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