WTI crude oil futures have surged above $112 per barrel as of April 4, 2026, driven by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz amid the ongoing Iran conflict and U.S. policy signals from President Trump, embedding a sharp risk premium into near-term pricing with May contracts trading at a $16 premium to June deliveries. This rally, up over 12% in the past week, overrides modest OPEC+ output hikes of around 200,000 barrels per day starting this month, as supply disruptions outweigh increased production. The EIA's latest weekly report for the week ending March 27 showed refinery inputs at 16.4 million barrels per day, with traders eyeing the April 8 inventory release and potential Strategic Petroleum Reserve actions for near-term direction amid U.S. output forecasts near 13.6 million barrels per day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$6,065,583 Vol.
↑ 200 $
3%
↑ 170 $
6%
↑ 160 $
9%
↑ 150 $
20%
↑ 140 $
34%
↑ 130 $
51%
↑ 120 $
76%
↓ 80 $
18%
↓ 70 $
5%
↓ 60 $
2%
↓ 50 $
1%
↓ 40 $
1%
↓ 30 $
<1%
↓ 20 $
<1%
$6,065,583 Vol.
↑ 200 $
3%
↑ 170 $
6%
↑ 160 $
9%
↑ 150 $
20%
↑ 140 $
34%
↑ 130 $
51%
↑ 120 $
76%
↓ 80 $
18%
↓ 70 $
5%
↓ 60 $
2%
↓ 50 $
1%
↓ 40 $
1%
↓ 30 $
<1%
↓ 20 $
<1%
For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month.
For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month, consistent with CME contract specifications.
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://pythdata.app/exploreResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month.
For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month, consistent with CME contract specifications.
Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Source de résolution
https://pythdata.app/exploreResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
WTI crude oil futures have surged above $112 per barrel as of April 4, 2026, driven by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Strait of Hormuz amid the ongoing Iran conflict and U.S. policy signals from President Trump, embedding a sharp risk premium into near-term pricing with May contracts trading at a $16 premium to June deliveries. This rally, up over 12% in the past week, overrides modest OPEC+ output hikes of around 200,000 barrels per day starting this month, as supply disruptions outweigh increased production. The EIA's latest weekly report for the week ending March 27 showed refinery inputs at 16.4 million barrels per day, with traders eyeing the April 8 inventory release and potential Strategic Petroleum Reserve actions for near-term direction amid U.S. output forecasts near 13.6 million barrels per day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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