Trader consensus on Polymarket prices NVIDIA (NVDA) share price closing the week of April 6 between $170-$185, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 29.5% ($175-$180), 27.5% ($180-$185), and 25.5% ($170-$175), reflecting balanced sentiment around the current ~$177 level amid elevated VIX volatility near 31. This positioning stems from a recent 10% pullback to $167 lows—triggered by Middle East geopolitical tensions pushing Brent crude over $100 and fears of peaking AI capex despite NVDA's Q4 FY2026 revenue beat to $68.1 billion and $1T+ Blackwell backlog revealed at March GTC—followed by a partial rebound on Marvell partnership news. NVDA maintains dominance via CUDA ecosystem and 55% net margins, outpacing AMD's pricing aggression and Intel's lag, though macro swings remain key differentiators ahead of May earnings. Analyst consensus targets ~$270 signal undervaluation at 19x forward P/E versus S&P 500.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$175-$180 30%
$180-$185 28%
$170-$175 26%
$185-$190 16%
<$155
11%
$155-$160
10%
$160-$165
10%
$165-$170
11%
$170-$175
26%
$175-$180
30%
$180-$185
28%
$185-$190
14%
$190-$195
7%
$195-$200
8%
>$200
6%
$175-$180 30%
$180-$185 28%
$170-$175 26%
$185-$190 16%
<$155
11%
$155-$160
10%
$160-$165
10%
$165-$170
11%
$170-$175
26%
$175-$180
30%
$180-$185
28%
$185-$190
14%
$190-$195
7%
$195-$200
8%
>$200
6%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Marché ouvert : Apr 3, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Source de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices NVIDIA (NVDA) share price closing the week of April 6 between $170-$185, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 29.5% ($175-$180), 27.5% ($180-$185), and 25.5% ($170-$175), reflecting balanced sentiment around the current ~$177 level amid elevated VIX volatility near 31. This positioning stems from a recent 10% pullback to $167 lows—triggered by Middle East geopolitical tensions pushing Brent crude over $100 and fears of peaking AI capex despite NVDA's Q4 FY2026 revenue beat to $68.1 billion and $1T+ Blackwell backlog revealed at March GTC—followed by a partial rebound on Marvell partnership news. NVDA maintains dominance via CUDA ecosystem and 55% net margins, outpacing AMD's pricing aggression and Intel's lag, though macro swings remain key differentiators ahead of May earnings. Analyst consensus targets ~$270 signal undervaluation at 19x forward P/E versus S&P 500.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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