US next strikes Iran on...?
No strike by February 28 54%
February 7 3.3%
February 6 3.2%
February 28 2.9%
$1,959,990 Vol.
$1,959,990 Vol.
January 2026
$128,677 Vol.
<1%
January 2026
$128,677 Vol.
<1%
February 1
$285,733 Vol.
2%
February 1
$285,733 Vol.
2%
February 2
$78,415 Vol.
3%
February 2
$78,415 Vol.
3%
February 3
$55,309 Vol.
3%
February 3
$55,309 Vol.
3%
February 4
$63,352 Vol.
2%
February 4
$63,352 Vol.
2%
February 5
$47,330 Vol.
2%
February 5
$47,330 Vol.
2%
February 6
$66,364 Vol.
3%
February 6
$66,364 Vol.
3%
February 7
$44,595 Vol.
3%
February 7
$44,595 Vol.
3%
February 8
$44,888 Vol.
3%
February 8
$44,888 Vol.
3%
February 9
$43,352 Vol.
2%
February 9
$43,352 Vol.
2%
February 10
$43,692 Vol.
2%
February 10
$43,692 Vol.
2%
February 11
$38,711 Vol.
1%
February 11
$38,711 Vol.
1%
February 12
$41,312 Vol.
2%
February 12
$41,312 Vol.
2%
February 13
$42,967 Vol.
3%
February 13
$42,967 Vol.
3%
February 14
$58,422 Vol.
2%
February 14
$58,422 Vol.
2%
February 15
$57,772 Vol.
1%
February 15
$57,772 Vol.
1%
February 16
$52,157 Vol.
1%
February 16
$52,157 Vol.
1%
February 17
$57,869 Vol.
1%
February 17
$57,869 Vol.
1%
February 18
$53,720 Vol.
1%
February 18
$53,720 Vol.
1%
February 19
$52,168 Vol.
1%
February 19
$52,168 Vol.
1%
February 20
$46,690 Vol.
2%
February 20
$46,690 Vol.
2%
February 21
$51,788 Vol.
2%
February 21
$51,788 Vol.
2%
February 22
$59,481 Vol.
1%
February 22
$59,481 Vol.
1%
February 23
$58,223 Vol.
1%
February 23
$58,223 Vol.
1%
February 24
$55,658 Vol.
1%
February 24
$55,658 Vol.
1%
February 25
$60,268 Vol.
1%
February 25
$60,268 Vol.
1%
February 26
$67,215 Vol.
1%
February 26
$67,215 Vol.
1%
February 27
$63,422 Vol.
2%
February 27
$63,422 Vol.
2%
February 28
$73,098 Vol.
3%
February 28
$73,098 Vol.
3%
No strike by February 28
$70,660 Vol.
54%
No strike by February 28
$70,660 Vol.
54%
Règles
If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of the listed date, the respective market will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred. If no strike could be verified under the prior rule by 48 hours after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No strike by February 28," regardless of whether a strike is later confirmed to have occurred.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an US missile, this will qualify).
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Créé le : Jan 27, 2026, 11:48 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...US next strikes Iran on...?
No strike by February 28 54%
February 7 3.3%
February 6 3.2%
February 28 2.9%
$1,959,990 Vol.
$1,959,990 Vol.
January 2026
<1%
February 1
2%
February 2
3%
February 3
3%
February 4
2%
February 5
2%
February 6
3%
February 7
3%
February 8
3%
February 9
2%
February 10
2%
February 11
1%
February 12
2%
February 13
3%
February 14
2%
February 15
1%
February 16
1%
February 17
1%
February 18
1%
February 19
1%
February 20
2%
February 21
2%
February 22
1%
February 23
1%
February 24
1%
February 25
1%
February 26
1%
February 27
2%
February 28
3%
No strike by February 28
54%
À propos
Resolver
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