Escalating mutual drone warfare defines the Ukraine-Russia conflict, with Ukraine launching massive barrages toward Moscow—including over 250 intercepted in two days ending March 16, 199 from March 14-16, and roughly 300 on March 22—yet Russian air defenses, per Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin, have downed all without confirmed strikes on the capital proper. This follows Russia's record near-1,000 drone assault on Ukraine March 23-24, killing civilians and targeting western cities amid its spring offensive. No successful Moscow hits in the past 30 days despite intensified deep strikes on Russian energy sites like Ust-Luga port; traders eye air defense strain, potential Western long-range weapons, and ongoing nightly incursions as pivotal.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$136,832 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
31 mars
3%
15 avril
11%
30 avril
18%
$136,832 Vol.
31 mars
$20,685 Vol.
3%
15 avril
$76 Vol.
11%
30 avril
$0 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Escalating mutual drone warfare defines the Ukraine-Russia conflict, with Ukraine launching massive barrages toward Moscow—including over 250 intercepted in two days ending March 16, 199 from March 14-16, and roughly 300 on March 22—yet Russian air defenses, per Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin, have downed all without confirmed strikes on the capital proper. This follows Russia's record near-1,000 drone assault on Ukraine March 23-24, killing civilians and targeting western cities amid its spring offensive. No successful Moscow hits in the past 30 days despite intensified deep strikes on Russian energy sites like Ust-Luga port; traders eye air defense strain, potential Western long-range weapons, and ongoing nightly incursions as pivotal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 11:00 AM ET
Volume
$136,832Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 11:00 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Escalating mutual drone warfare defines the Ukraine-Russia conflict, with Ukraine launching massive barrages toward Moscow—including over 250 intercepted in two days ending March 16, 199 from March 14-16, and roughly 300 on March 22—yet Russian air defenses, per Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin, have downed all without confirmed strikes on the capital proper. This follows Russia's record near-1,000 drone assault on Ukraine March 23-24, killing civilians and targeting western cities amid its spring offensive. No successful Moscow hits in the past 30 days despite intensified deep strikes on Russian energy sites like Ust-Luga port; traders eye air defense strain, potential Western long-range weapons, and ongoing nightly incursions as pivotal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$136,832Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 11:00 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Escalating mutual drone warfare defines the Ukraine-Russia conflict, with Ukraine launching massive barrages toward Moscow—including over 250 intercepted in two days ending March 16, 199 from March 14-16, and roughly 300 on March 22—yet Russian air defenses, per Moscow Mayor Sergei Sobyanin, have downed all without confirmed strikes on the capital proper. This follows Russia's record near-1,000 drone assault on Ukraine March 23-24, killing civilians and targeting western cities amid its spring offensive. No successful Moscow hits in the past 30 days despite intensified deep strikes on Russian energy sites like Ust-Luga port; traders eye air defense strain, potential Western long-range weapons, and ongoing nightly incursions as pivotal.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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