Amid escalating drone warfare in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Ukrainian forces launched one of the largest drone attacks on Moscow in mid-March 2026, with over 250 UAVs reportedly intercepted by Russian air defenses on March 15-16, temporarily closing major airports and prompting visible defensive fire over the capital. No confirmed strikes caused damage within Moscow city limits, though Ukraine has successfully hit distant targets like the Primorsk oil terminal in late March. Russia retaliated with record barrages, firing nearly 1,000 drones at Ukraine on March 23-24 amid its spring offensive. Traders weigh Ukraine's advancing drone capabilities against Russia's layered defenses, with ongoing mutual airstrikes heightening risks of penetration or further de-escalation signals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$136,644 Vol.
Apr 15, 2026
31 mars
4%
15 avril
12%
30 avril
18%
$136,644 Vol.
31 mars
$20,496 Vol.
4%
15 avril
$76 Vol.
12%
30 avril
$0 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Amid escalating drone warfare in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Ukrainian forces launched one of the largest drone attacks on Moscow in mid-March 2026, with over 250 UAVs reportedly intercepted by Russian air defenses on March 15-16, temporarily closing major airports and prompting visible defensive fire over the capital. No confirmed strikes caused damage within Moscow city limits, though Ukraine has successfully hit distant targets like the Primorsk oil terminal in late March. Russia retaliated with record barrages, firing nearly 1,000 drones at Ukraine on March 23-24 amid its spring offensive. Traders weigh Ukraine's advancing drone capabilities against Russia's layered defenses, with ongoing mutual airstrikes heightening risks of penetration or further de-escalation signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$136,644Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Amid escalating drone warfare in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Ukrainian forces launched one of the largest drone attacks on Moscow in mid-March 2026, with over 250 UAVs reportedly intercepted by Russian air defenses on March 15-16, temporarily closing major airports and prompting visible defensive fire over the capital. No confirmed strikes caused damage within Moscow city limits, though Ukraine has successfully hit distant targets like the Primorsk oil terminal in late March. Russia retaliated with record barrages, firing nearly 1,000 drones at Ukraine on March 23-24 amid its spring offensive. Traders weigh Ukraine's advancing drone capabilities against Russia's layered defenses, with ongoing mutual airstrikes heightening risks of penetration or further de-escalation signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ukrainian armed forces initiate a drone, missile, or air strike on Moscow municipality's soil by the listed date Moscow Standard Time (MSK). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Ukrainian armed forces that impact Moscow municipality's ground territory.
A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory of the Moscow municipality counts.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on the Moscow municipality's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by the Ukrainian armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official government/military statements (Ukrainian or Russian), multilateral bodies (UN, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting from major international media and national broadcasters/newspapers.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$136,644Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid escalating drone warfare in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Ukrainian forces launched one of the largest drone attacks on Moscow in mid-March 2026, with over 250 UAVs reportedly intercepted by Russian air defenses on March 15-16, temporarily closing major airports and prompting visible defensive fire over the capital. No confirmed strikes caused damage within Moscow city limits, though Ukraine has successfully hit distant targets like the Primorsk oil terminal in late March. Russia retaliated with record barrages, firing nearly 1,000 drones at Ukraine on March 23-24 amid its spring offensive. Traders weigh Ukraine's advancing drone capabilities against Russia's layered defenses, with ongoing mutual airstrikes heightening risks of penetration or further de-escalation signals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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