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Participation au premier tour de la primaire du Sénat républicain du Texas

Market icon

Participation au premier tour de la primaire du Sénat républicain du Texas

2,0–2,2M 97.1%

2,2–2,4 M 11%

2,4–2,6 M 1.4%

2,8M+ <1%

Polymarket

$24,662 Vol.

2,0–2,2M 97.1%

2,2–2,4 M 11%

2,4–2,6 M 1.4%

2,8M+ <1%

Polymarket

$24,662 Vol.

<2,0M

$5,833 Vol.

1%

2,0–2,2M

$2,182 Vol.

74%

2,2–2,4 M

$8,822 Vol.

18%

2,4–2,6 M

$3,588 Vol.

1%

2,6–2,8 M

$1,130 Vol.

1%

2,8M+

$3,108 Vol.

1%

Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority.

This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$24,662
Date de fin
Mar 3, 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 5, 2026, 7:13 PM ET
Primary elections in Texas are scheduled to be held on March 3, 2026, with a runoff on May 26 if no candidate receives a majority. This market will resolve according to the first-round total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary, the Race total Canvass Votes. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Participation au premier tour de la primaire du Sénat républicain du Texas" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2,0–2,2M" at 74%, followed by "2,2–2,4 M" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Participation au premier tour de la primaire du Sénat républicain du Texas" has generated $24.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Participation au premier tour de la primaire du Sénat républicain du Texas," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Participation au premier tour de la primaire du Sénat républicain du Texas" is "2,0–2,2M" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2,2–2,4 M" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Participation au premier tour de la primaire du Sénat républicain du Texas" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.