Hart voor Den Haag (HvDH) commands 95.5% trader consensus as the likely winner of the most seats in The Hague's upcoming municipal election, driven by consistent poll leads showing 25-30% support amid local frustrations over housing shortages, public safety, and cost-of-living pressures where the party positions itself as a vocal advocate. Recent surveys from Peil.nl and Verian reinforce this edge, with no close challengers emerging since the last comparable 2022 results. National parties like VVD, D66, and GL-PvdA trail far behind, reflecting HvDH's entrenched local appeal under leader Richard de Mos. Realistic challenges include a scandal hitting De Mos, unexpectedly high turnout boosting urban progressives, or national PVV momentum spilling over, though current evidence suggests low probability for shifts before March 2026 voting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection municipale de La Haye
Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de La Haye
Cœur pour La Haye (HvDH) 95.5%
Démocrates 66 (D66) 1.3%
GroenLinks–Parti travailliste (GL–PvdA) <1%
Forum pour la démocratie (FvD) <1%
$58,736 Vol.
$58,736 Vol.

Cœur pour La Haye (HvDH)
96%

Démocrates 66 (D66)
1%

GroenLinks–Parti travailliste (GL–PvdA)
1%

Forum pour la démocratie (FvD)
1%

Appel Chrétien-Démocrate (CDA)
<1%

Parti pour les Animaux (PvdD)
<1%

Denk (Denk)
<1%

Le Parti de La Haye (HSP)
<1%

Parti populaire pour la liberté et la démocratie (VVD)
<1%

Parti socialiste (SP)
<1%

Parti pour la liberté (PVV)
<1%

Christian Union–SGP (CU–SGP)
<1%
Cœur pour La Haye (HvDH) 95.5%
Démocrates 66 (D66) 1.3%
GroenLinks–Parti travailliste (GL–PvdA) <1%
Forum pour la démocratie (FvD) <1%
$58,736 Vol.
$58,736 Vol.

Cœur pour La Haye (HvDH)
96%

Démocrates 66 (D66)
1%

GroenLinks–Parti travailliste (GL–PvdA)
1%

Forum pour la démocratie (FvD)
1%

Appel Chrétien-Démocrate (CDA)
<1%

Parti pour les Animaux (PvdD)
<1%

Denk (Denk)
<1%

Le Parti de La Haye (HSP)
<1%

Parti populaire pour la liberté et la démocratie (VVD)
<1%

Parti socialiste (SP)
<1%

Parti pour la liberté (PVV)
<1%

Christian Union–SGP (CU–SGP)
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the The Hague Municipal Council (Gemeenteraad Den Haag) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Dutch government, specifically the Dutch Electoral Council (Kiesraad - https://www.kiesraad.nl/).
Marché ouvert : Feb 12, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Hart voor Den Haag (HvDH) commands 95.5% trader consensus as the likely winner of the most seats in The Hague's upcoming municipal election, driven by consistent poll leads showing 25-30% support amid local frustrations over housing shortages, public safety, and cost-of-living pressures where the party positions itself as a vocal advocate. Recent surveys from Peil.nl and Verian reinforce this edge, with no close challengers emerging since the last comparable 2022 results. National parties like VVD, D66, and GL-PvdA trail far behind, reflecting HvDH's entrenched local appeal under leader Richard de Mos. Realistic challenges include a scandal hitting De Mos, unexpectedly high turnout boosting urban progressives, or national PVV momentum spilling over, though current evidence suggests low probability for shifts before March 2026 voting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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