Market icon
Tech·Big Tech

Tech licenciements vers le haut ou vers le bas dans 20​26 ?

Market icon
Tech·Big Tech

Tech licenciements vers le haut ou vers le bas dans 20​26 ?

En hausse

93% chance
Polymarket

$10,402 Vol.

En hausse

93% chance
Polymarket

$10,402 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors tech layoffs rising in 2026 over 2025, with "Up" at a market-implied 93% probability, driven by an explosive Q1 where over 85,000 jobs were cut across 200+ companies—averaging 900+ daily—per trackers like TrueUp and Layoffs.fyi. Recent catalysts include Oracle's thousands-strong cuts to fund AI infrastructure (March 31), alongside Meta, Amazon, and Atlassian restructurings explicitly tied to artificial intelligence adoption and efficiency gains, outpacing Q1 2025 by 40% according to Challenger, Gray & Christmas. This reflects broader industry shifts reallocating capital from headcount to AI data centers amid softening demand in non-core areas. While robust U.S. economic growth or accelerated AI productivity breakthroughs could temper the pace, upcoming Q2 earnings calls and further model releases are likely to sustain the upward trajectory barring unforeseen hiring surges.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).

This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.

If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.

Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.

This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).

Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$10,402
Date de fin
28 févr. 2027
Marché ouvert
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors tech layoffs rising in 2026 over 2025, with "Up" at a market-implied 93% probability, driven by an explosive Q1 where over 85,000 jobs were cut across 200+ companies—averaging 900+ daily—per trackers like TrueUp and Layoffs.fyi. Recent catalysts include Oracle's thousands-strong cuts to fund AI infrastructure (March 31), alongside Meta, Amazon, and Atlassian restructurings explicitly tied to artificial intelligence adoption and efficiency gains, outpacing Q1 2025 by 40% according to Challenger, Gray & Christmas. This reflects broader industry shifts reallocating capital from headcount to AI data centers amid softening demand in non-core areas. While robust U.S. economic growth or accelerated AI productivity breakthroughs could temper the pace, upcoming Q2 earnings calls and further model releases are likely to sustain the upward trajectory barring unforeseen hiring surges.

This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).

This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.

If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.

Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.

This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).

Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$10,402
Date de fin
28 févr. 2027
Marché ouvert
Mar 20, 2026, 2:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs). This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026. If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total. Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered. This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL). Changes in the methodology by which the Bureau of Labor Statistics reports data will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The resolution source reports the values as whole numbers (thousands of persons). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« Tech licenciements vers le haut ou vers le bas dans 20​26 ? » est un marché de prédiction quotidien sur Polymarket où les traders achètent et vendent des parts sur la question de savoir si le prix de Tech licenciements vers le haut ou vers le bas dans 20​26 ? finira plus haut (« Up ») ou plus bas (« Down ») que son prix d'ouverture sur la fenêtre quotidien spécifiée dans le titre. La probabilité actuelle du marché est de 93% pour « En hausse ». Un prix de 93% signifie que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 93% à ce résultat. Les prix sont mis à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders réagissent aux mouvements de prix en direct de Tech licenciements vers le haut ou vers le bas dans 20​26 ?. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Tech licenciements vers le haut ou vers le bas dans 20​26 ? » a généré $10.4K en volume total de trading. Les marchés Tech licenciements vers le haut ou vers le bas dans 20​26 ? Up ou Down attirent des traders actifs réagissant aux mouvements de prix en direct en temps réel — ce niveau d'activité garantit que les cotes Up/Down actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les prix en direct et trader directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Tech licenciements vers le haut ou vers le bas dans 20​26 ? », décidez si vous pensez que le prix de Tech licenciements vers le haut ou vers le bas dans 20​26 ? à midi ET le February 27 sera plus haut (« Up ») ou plus bas (« Down ») qu'à midi ET le March 20. Achetez « Up » si vous pensez que le prix va monter, ou « Down » s'il va baisser. Entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat est correct, chaque part rapporte $1,00. S'il est incorrect, les parts valent $0.

La probabilité actuelle pour « Tech licenciements vers le haut ou vers le bas dans 20​26 ? » est de 93% pour « En hausse », ce qui signifie que la communauté Polymarket attribue actuellement une probabilité de 93% que le prix de Tech licenciements vers le haut ou vers le bas dans 20​26 ? finira en hausse sur cette fenêtre quotidien. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders réagissent aux données de prix en direct de Tech licenciements vers le haut ou vers le bas dans 20​26 ?. Sur une journée entière, les cotes reflètent le sentiment en évolution à mesure que l'action de prix de la journée se déroule. Revenez fréquemment ou tradez maintenant avant la fermeture de la fenêtre.

Le marché « Tech licenciements vers le haut ou vers le bas dans 20​26 ? » se résout sur la base d'une comparaison du prix de Tech licenciements vers le haut ou vers le bas dans 20​26 ? à midi ET le February 27 par rapport à midi ET le March 20, en utilisant les prix de clôture des bougies 1 minute Binance TECH-LAYOFFS/USDT. Si le prix à midi du February 27 est plus élevé, le résultat est « Up » ; s'il est plus bas, « Down » ; s'il est égal, le marché se résout 50-50. Vous pouvez consulter les critères complets dans la section « Règles ».