Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5-2.0 trillion at 51.5% implied probability, driven by reports over the past week that the company aims to file its IPO prospectus imminently—potentially this week—targeting a record $75 billion raise at over $1.75 trillion valuation. Starlink's explosive satellite internet growth, now powering global broadband and emerging AI data center ambitions in orbit, underpins this positioning, alongside Starship's reusable rocket milestones enabling massive payload deployments. The 23.5% odds for $2.0-2.5 trillion reflect upside from retail investor allocation plans and competitive dominance over rivals like Blue Origin. Key catalysts ahead include the confidential filing confirmation, bank selection, and Starship Flight 12 test, amid volatile public market reception risks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourSpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
$1.866T
1.5T-2.0T 52%
2.0T-2.5T 24%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 5.6%
$1,007,228 Vol.
$1,007,228 Vol.
<1.0T
2%
1.0T-1.5T
10%
1.5T-2.0T
52%
2.0T-2.5T
24%
2.5T-3.0T
6%
3.0T-3.5T
3%
3,5 T$+
2%
No IPO before 2028
3%
1.5T-2.0T 52%
2.0T-2.5T 24%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 5.6%
$1,007,228 Vol.
$1,007,228 Vol.
<1.0T
$10,502 Vol.
2%
1.0T-1.5T
$7,246 Vol.
10%
1.5T-2.0T
$9,354 Vol.
52%
2.0T-2.5T
$9,026 Vol.
24%
2.5T-3.0T
$431,088 Vol.
6%
3.0T-3.5T
$372,526 Vol.
3%
3,5 T$+
$9,817 Vol.
2%
No IPO before 2028
$157,669 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5-2.0 trillion at 51.5% implied probability, driven by reports over the past week that the company aims to file its IPO prospectus imminently—potentially this week—targeting a record $75 billion raise at over $1.75 trillion valuation. Starlink's explosive satellite internet growth, now powering global broadband and emerging AI data center ambitions in orbit, underpins this positioning, alongside Starship's reusable rocket milestones enabling massive payload deployments. The 23.5% odds for $2.0-2.5 trillion reflect upside from retail investor allocation plans and competitive dominance over rivals like Blue Origin. Key catalysts ahead include the confidential filing confirmation, bank selection, and Starship Flight 12 test, amid volatile public market reception risks.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Volume
$1,007,228Marché ouvert
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5-2.0 trillion at 51.5% implied probability, driven by reports over the past week that the company aims to file its IPO prospectus imminently—potentially this week—targeting a record $75 billion raise at over $1.75 trillion valuation. Starlink's explosive satellite internet growth, now powering global broadband and emerging AI data center ambitions in orbit, underpins this positioning, alongside Starship's reusable rocket milestones enabling massive payload deployments. The 23.5% odds for $2.0-2.5 trillion reflect upside from retail investor allocation plans and competitive dominance over rivals like Blue Origin. Key catalysts ahead include the confidential filing confirmation, bank selection, and Starship Flight 12 test, amid volatile public market reception risks.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$1,007,228Marché ouvert
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5-2.0 trillion at 51.5% implied probability, driven by reports over the past week that the company aims to file its IPO prospectus imminently—potentially this week—targeting a record $75 billion raise at over $1.75 trillion valuation. Starlink's explosive satellite internet growth, now powering global broadband and emerging AI data center ambitions in orbit, underpins this positioning, alongside Starship's reusable rocket milestones enabling massive payload deployments. The 23.5% odds for $2.0-2.5 trillion reflect upside from retail investor allocation plans and competitive dominance over rivals like Blue Origin. Key catalysts ahead include the confidential filing confirmation, bank selection, and Starship Flight 12 test, amid volatile public market reception risks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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