Recent reports of SpaceX potentially filing its IPO prospectus this week, targeting a mid-June debut at a $1.75 trillion valuation with a $75 billion raise, have solidified trader consensus around the 1.5T-2.0T market cap outcome at 52.5% implied probability. This surge follows a December 2025 tender offer valuing the company at $800 billion, fueled by Starlink's explosive subscriber growth to over 9 million and projected $15-16 billion 2025 revenue, alongside Starship's ongoing V3 development despite early April test delays. Elon Musk's push for 30% retail investor allocation in the offering amplifies hype, while April investor briefings loom as the next catalyst amid reusable rocket milestones and orbital ambitions. Lower brackets reflect risks like regulatory hurdles or Starship setbacks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourSpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
$1.854T
1.5T-2.0T 53%
2.0T-2.5T 24%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 5.3%
$803,735 Vol.
$803,735 Vol.
<1.0T
3%
1.0T-1.5T
10%
1.5T-2.0T
53%
2.0T-2.5T
24%
2.5T-3.0T
5%
3.0T-3.5T
3%
3,5 T$+
2%
No IPO before 2028
3%
1.5T-2.0T 53%
2.0T-2.5T 24%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 5.3%
$803,735 Vol.
$803,735 Vol.
<1.0T
$9,514 Vol.
3%
1.0T-1.5T
$6,710 Vol.
10%
1.5T-2.0T
$8,608 Vol.
53%
2.0T-2.5T
$8,502 Vol.
24%
2.5T-3.0T
$383,514 Vol.
5%
3.0T-3.5T
$332,706 Vol.
3%
3,5 T$+
$9,334 Vol.
2%
No IPO before 2028
$44,847 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent reports of SpaceX potentially filing its IPO prospectus this week, targeting a mid-June debut at a $1.75 trillion valuation with a $75 billion raise, have solidified trader consensus around the 1.5T-2.0T market cap outcome at 52.5% implied probability. This surge follows a December 2025 tender offer valuing the company at $800 billion, fueled by Starlink's explosive subscriber growth to over 9 million and projected $15-16 billion 2025 revenue, alongside Starship's ongoing V3 development despite early April test delays. Elon Musk's push for 30% retail investor allocation in the offering amplifies hype, while April investor briefings loom as the next catalyst amid reusable rocket milestones and orbital ambitions. Lower brackets reflect risks like regulatory hurdles or Starship setbacks.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Volume
$803,735Marché ouvert
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent reports of SpaceX potentially filing its IPO prospectus this week, targeting a mid-June debut at a $1.75 trillion valuation with a $75 billion raise, have solidified trader consensus around the 1.5T-2.0T market cap outcome at 52.5% implied probability. This surge follows a December 2025 tender offer valuing the company at $800 billion, fueled by Starlink's explosive subscriber growth to over 9 million and projected $15-16 billion 2025 revenue, alongside Starship's ongoing V3 development despite early April test delays. Elon Musk's push for 30% retail investor allocation in the offering amplifies hype, while April investor briefings loom as the next catalyst amid reusable rocket milestones and orbital ambitions. Lower brackets reflect risks like regulatory hurdles or Starship setbacks.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$803,735Marché ouvert
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent reports of SpaceX potentially filing its IPO prospectus this week, targeting a mid-June debut at a $1.75 trillion valuation with a $75 billion raise, have solidified trader consensus around the 1.5T-2.0T market cap outcome at 52.5% implied probability. This surge follows a December 2025 tender offer valuing the company at $800 billion, fueled by Starlink's explosive subscriber growth to over 9 million and projected $15-16 billion 2025 revenue, alongside Starship's ongoing V3 development despite early April test delays. Elon Musk's push for 30% retail investor allocation in the offering amplifies hype, while April investor briefings loom as the next catalyst amid reusable rocket milestones and orbital ambitions. Lower brackets reflect risks like regulatory hurdles or Starship setbacks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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