Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5-2.0 trillion (52.5% implied probability), driven by reports from The Information and Bloomberg over the past week indicating an S-1 filing as early as this week, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and a record $75 billion raise—potentially the largest IPO ever. This aligns with December 2025 tender offers at $800 billion, scaled by explosive Starlink growth to over 9 million subscribers and $10 billion+ annual revenue, plus Starship's rapid reusability milestones and rumored xAI merger integration for AI-enhanced operations. Lower buckets reflect risks like FAA regulatory delays or Musk's timeline shifts, while a "No IPO before 2028" outcome at 2.5% sees minimal support amid imminent filing momentum; watch for SEC confirmation and June pricing catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourSpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
$1.855T
1.5T-2.0T 53%
2.0T-2.5T 24%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 5.3%
$903,201 Vol.
$903,201 Vol.
<1.0T
3%
1.0T-1.5T
10%
1.5T-2.0T
53%
2.0T-2.5T
24%
2.5T-3.0T
5%
3.0T-3.5T
3%
3,5 T$+
2%
No IPO before 2028
2%
1.5T-2.0T 53%
2.0T-2.5T 24%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 5.3%
$903,201 Vol.
$903,201 Vol.
<1.0T
$9,840 Vol.
3%
1.0T-1.5T
$6,934 Vol.
10%
1.5T-2.0T
$9,020 Vol.
53%
2.0T-2.5T
$8,692 Vol.
24%
2.5T-3.0T
$383,670 Vol.
5%
3.0T-3.5T
$342,293 Vol.
3%
3,5 T$+
$9,483 Vol.
2%
No IPO before 2028
$137,058 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5-2.0 trillion (52.5% implied probability), driven by reports from The Information and Bloomberg over the past week indicating an S-1 filing as early as this week, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and a record $75 billion raise—potentially the largest IPO ever. This aligns with December 2025 tender offers at $800 billion, scaled by explosive Starlink growth to over 9 million subscribers and $10 billion+ annual revenue, plus Starship's rapid reusability milestones and rumored xAI merger integration for AI-enhanced operations. Lower buckets reflect risks like FAA regulatory delays or Musk's timeline shifts, while a "No IPO before 2028" outcome at 2.5% sees minimal support amid imminent filing momentum; watch for SEC confirmation and June pricing catalysts.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Volume
$903,201Marché ouvert
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5-2.0 trillion (52.5% implied probability), driven by reports from The Information and Bloomberg over the past week indicating an S-1 filing as early as this week, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and a record $75 billion raise—potentially the largest IPO ever. This aligns with December 2025 tender offers at $800 billion, scaled by explosive Starlink growth to over 9 million subscribers and $10 billion+ annual revenue, plus Starship's rapid reusability milestones and rumored xAI merger integration for AI-enhanced operations. Lower buckets reflect risks like FAA regulatory delays or Musk's timeline shifts, while a "No IPO before 2028" outcome at 2.5% sees minimal support amid imminent filing momentum; watch for SEC confirmation and June pricing catalysts.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$903,201Marché ouvert
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a SpaceX IPO closing market cap of $1.5-2.0 trillion (52.5% implied probability), driven by reports from The Information and Bloomberg over the past week indicating an S-1 filing as early as this week, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and a record $75 billion raise—potentially the largest IPO ever. This aligns with December 2025 tender offers at $800 billion, scaled by explosive Starlink growth to over 9 million subscribers and $10 billion+ annual revenue, plus Starship's rapid reusability milestones and rumored xAI merger integration for AI-enhanced operations. Lower buckets reflect risks like FAA regulatory delays or Musk's timeline shifts, while a "No IPO before 2028" outcome at 2.5% sees minimal support amid imminent filing momentum; watch for SEC confirmation and June pricing catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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