Rhode Island's entrenched Democratic advantage and incumbent Jack Reed's long Senate tenure drive the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a Democratic win in the 2026 contest. Reed, first elected in 1996 and now seeking a sixth term, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the September 9 contest and holds double-digit leads over Republican nominee Raymond McKay in recent University of New Hampshire polling. The state has not elected a Republican to the Senate since 2000, reflecting a partisan voting index that heavily favors Democrats in general elections. A major late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the gap before November 3, though historical patterns and current polling averages indicate such shifts remain improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$10,322 Vol.
$10,322 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Démocrate
95%
Républicain
4%
$10,322 Vol.
$10,322 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Démocrate
$6,732 Vol.
95%
Républicain
$3,590 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Rhode Island's entrenched Democratic advantage and incumbent Jack Reed's long Senate tenure drive the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a Democratic win in the 2026 contest. Reed, first elected in 1996 and now seeking a sixth term, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the September 9 contest and holds double-digit leads over Republican nominee Raymond McKay in recent University of New Hampshire polling. The state has not elected a Republican to the Senate since 2000, reflecting a partisan voting index that heavily favors Democrats in general elections. A major late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the gap before November 3, though historical patterns and current polling averages indicate such shifts remain improbable.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$10,322Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Rhode Island's entrenched Democratic advantage and incumbent Jack Reed's long Senate tenure drive the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a Democratic win in the 2026 contest. Reed, first elected in 1996 and now seeking a sixth term, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the September 9 contest and holds double-digit leads over Republican nominee Raymond McKay in recent University of New Hampshire polling. The state has not elected a Republican to the Senate since 2000, reflecting a partisan voting index that heavily favors Democrats in general elections. A major late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the gap before November 3, though historical patterns and current polling averages indicate such shifts remain improbable.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$10,322Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rhode Island's entrenched Democratic advantage and incumbent Jack Reed's long Senate tenure drive the overwhelming trader consensus favoring a Democratic win in the 2026 contest. Reed, first elected in 1996 and now seeking a sixth term, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the September 9 contest and holds double-digit leads over Republican nominee Raymond McKay in recent University of New Hampshire polling. The state has not elected a Republican to the Senate since 2000, reflecting a partisan voting index that heavily favors Democrats in general elections. A major late scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the gap before November 3, though historical patterns and current polling averages indicate such shifts remain improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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