Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-even chance (48%) of no Perplexity IPO before 2028, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official public statements amid a focus on product expansion, including the recent launch of Perplexity Computer—an AI orchestration layer routing tasks across 19 third-party large language models like Claude Opus 4.6, Gemini, and GPT-5.2 for enterprise workflows. This reflects sustained private momentum with $200 million annual recurring revenue by late 2025 and a $20 billion valuation from September's funding round, yet underscores risks from model providers building in-house orchestration, fragmenting Perplexity's middleware moat. Stronger odds for 50B–75B (30.6%) or 40B–50B (19.8%) closing caps imply trader bets on growth to $656 million ARR by year-end if listing occurs, tempered by competitive consolidation and high 100x revenue multiples; watch Q2 enterprise adoption and AI regulatory shifts for catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourPas d'introduction en bourse avant 2028 45%
40–50 milliards 16.8%
50–75 Md$ 7.8%
Plus de 100 milliards 4.5%
$124,348 Vol.
$124,348 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
<20 Mds$
3%
20–30 milliards
3%
30–40 milliards
4%
40–50 milliards
20%
50–75 Md$
30%
75–100 milliards
4%
Plus de 100 milliards
4%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant 2028
45%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant 2028 45%
40–50 milliards 16.8%
50–75 Md$ 7.8%
Plus de 100 milliards 4.5%
$124,348 Vol.
$124,348 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
<20 Mds$
$4,376 Vol.
3%
20–30 milliards
$5,711 Vol.
3%
30–40 milliards
$0 Vol.
4%
40–50 milliards
$0 Vol.
20%
50–75 Md$
$6,171 Vol.
30%
75–100 milliards
$3,177 Vol.
4%
Plus de 100 milliards
$0 Vol.
4%
Pas d'introduction en bourse avant 2028
$104,914 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-even chance (48%) of no Perplexity IPO before 2028, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official public statements amid a focus on product expansion, including the recent launch of Perplexity Computer—an AI orchestration layer routing tasks across 19 third-party large language models like Claude Opus 4.6, Gemini, and GPT-5.2 for enterprise workflows. This reflects sustained private momentum with $200 million annual recurring revenue by late 2025 and a $20 billion valuation from September's funding round, yet underscores risks from model providers building in-house orchestration, fragmenting Perplexity's middleware moat. Stronger odds for 50B–75B (30.6%) or 40B–50B (19.8%) closing caps imply trader bets on growth to $656 million ARR by year-end if listing occurs, tempered by competitive consolidation and high 100x revenue multiples; watch Q2 enterprise adoption and AI regulatory shifts for catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
Volume
$124,348Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-even chance (48%) of no Perplexity IPO before 2028, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official public statements amid a focus on product expansion, including the recent launch of Perplexity Computer—an AI orchestration layer routing tasks across 19 third-party large language models like Claude Opus 4.6, Gemini, and GPT-5.2 for enterprise workflows. This reflects sustained private momentum with $200 million annual recurring revenue by late 2025 and a $20 billion valuation from September's funding round, yet underscores risks from model providers building in-house orchestration, fragmenting Perplexity's middleware moat. Stronger odds for 50B–75B (30.6%) or 40B–50B (19.8%) closing caps imply trader bets on growth to $656 million ARR by year-end if listing occurs, tempered by competitive consolidation and high 100x revenue multiples; watch Q2 enterprise adoption and AI regulatory shifts for catalysts.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$124,348Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-even chance (48%) of no Perplexity IPO before 2028, driven by the absence of any S-1 filing or official public statements amid a focus on product expansion, including the recent launch of Perplexity Computer—an AI orchestration layer routing tasks across 19 third-party large language models like Claude Opus 4.6, Gemini, and GPT-5.2 for enterprise workflows. This reflects sustained private momentum with $200 million annual recurring revenue by late 2025 and a $20 billion valuation from September's funding round, yet underscores risks from model providers building in-house orchestration, fragmenting Perplexity's middleware moat. Stronger odds for 50B–75B (30.6%) or 40B–50B (19.8%) closing caps imply trader bets on growth to $656 million ARR by year-end if listing occurs, tempered by competitive consolidation and high 100x revenue multiples; watch Q2 enterprise adoption and AI regulatory shifts for catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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