Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors John Ternus at 44% implied probability as Apple's next CEO, propelled by a major March 22 Bloomberg profile detailing his expanded oversight of hardware engineering and industrial design—key signals in Tim Cook's low-key succession planning amid Apple's 50th anniversary. Ternus, senior vice president of hardware technologies, earns praise for reversing perceived product quality declines in MacBooks and iPads, bolstering his internal frontrunner status among executives. Sabih Khan's 14.5% follows his July 2025 promotion to chief operating officer after Jeff Williams' retirement, highlighting supply chain expertise amid geopolitical tensions. Greg Joswiak (10.1%) and Craig Federighi (7.0%) trail as marketing and software engineering leads, respectively, but lack recent catalysts; watch Q2 earnings for further hints on leadership shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourJohn Ternus 44%
Sabih Khan 14%
Craig Federighi 7.0%
Greg Joswiak 3.2%
$667,927 Vol.
$667,927 Vol.
John Ternus
44%
Sabih Khan
14%
Craig Federighi
7%
Greg Joswiak
10%
John Ternus 44%
Sabih Khan 14%
Craig Federighi 7.0%
Greg Joswiak 3.2%
$667,927 Vol.
$667,927 Vol.
John Ternus
44%
Sabih Khan
14%
Craig Federighi
7%
Greg Joswiak
10%
An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple.
Interim CEOs will not qualify.
If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.
Marché ouvert : Nov 18, 2025, 3:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple.
Interim CEOs will not qualify.
If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors John Ternus at 44% implied probability as Apple's next CEO, propelled by a major March 22 Bloomberg profile detailing his expanded oversight of hardware engineering and industrial design—key signals in Tim Cook's low-key succession planning amid Apple's 50th anniversary. Ternus, senior vice president of hardware technologies, earns praise for reversing perceived product quality declines in MacBooks and iPads, bolstering his internal frontrunner status among executives. Sabih Khan's 14.5% follows his July 2025 promotion to chief operating officer after Jeff Williams' retirement, highlighting supply chain expertise amid geopolitical tensions. Greg Joswiak (10.1%) and Craig Federighi (7.0%) trail as marketing and software engineering leads, respectively, but lack recent catalysts; watch Q2 earnings for further hints on leadership shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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