House Republicans' razor-thin majority, further eroded by a recent New Jersey special election loss, has heightened Speaker Mike Johnson's vulnerability amid the 119th Congress, though new House rules require support from at least nine GOP members to force a motion to vacate—up from one previously. Johnson's recent push for a five-year FISA Section 702 extension backfired into a short-term renewal until late April, fueling conservative frustrations but no formal ouster challenge. No motion to vacate has materialized in 2026, despite past threats like Marjorie Taylor Greene's 2024 effort, which he survived with bipartisan aid. Attendance challenges persist as members prioritize 2026 midterm campaigns, with Johnson's own Louisiana primary looming; a pivotal FISA reauthorization vote by month's end could test party unity and influence trader assessments of his tenure through June or year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMike Johnson en tant que conférencier par... ?
Mike Johnson en tant que conférencier par... ?
$99,365 Vol.
31 mars 2026
30 juin 2026
10%
31 décembre 2026
34%
$99,365 Vol.
30 juin 2026
$4,096 Vol.
10%
31 décembre 2026
$1,932 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.House Republicans' razor-thin majority, further eroded by a recent New Jersey special election loss, has heightened Speaker Mike Johnson's vulnerability amid the 119th Congress, though new House rules require support from at least nine GOP members to force a motion to vacate—up from one previously. Johnson's recent push for a five-year FISA Section 702 extension backfired into a short-term renewal until late April, fueling conservative frustrations but no formal ouster challenge. No motion to vacate has materialized in 2026, despite past threats like Marjorie Taylor Greene's 2024 effort, which he survived with bipartisan aid. Attendance challenges persist as members prioritize 2026 midterm campaigns, with Johnson's own Louisiana primary looming; a pivotal FISA reauthorization vote by month's end could test party unity and influence trader assessments of his tenure through June or year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Marché ouvert : Oct 7, 2025, 1:23 PM ET
Volume
$99,365Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 7, 2025, 1:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.House Republicans' razor-thin majority, further eroded by a recent New Jersey special election loss, has heightened Speaker Mike Johnson's vulnerability amid the 119th Congress, though new House rules require support from at least nine GOP members to force a motion to vacate—up from one previously. Johnson's recent push for a five-year FISA Section 702 extension backfired into a short-term renewal until late April, fueling conservative frustrations but no formal ouster challenge. No motion to vacate has materialized in 2026, despite past threats like Marjorie Taylor Greene's 2024 effort, which he survived with bipartisan aid. Attendance challenges persist as members prioritize 2026 midterm campaigns, with Johnson's own Louisiana primary looming; a pivotal FISA reauthorization vote by month's end could test party unity and influence trader assessments of his tenure through June or year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$99,365Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 7, 2025, 1:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
House Republicans' razor-thin majority, further eroded by a recent New Jersey special election loss, has heightened Speaker Mike Johnson's vulnerability amid the 119th Congress, though new House rules require support from at least nine GOP members to force a motion to vacate—up from one previously. Johnson's recent push for a five-year FISA Section 702 extension backfired into a short-term renewal until late April, fueling conservative frustrations but no formal ouster challenge. No motion to vacate has materialized in 2026, despite past threats like Marjorie Taylor Greene's 2024 effort, which he survived with bipartisan aid. Attendance challenges persist as members prioritize 2026 midterm campaigns, with Johnson's own Louisiana primary looming; a pivotal FISA reauthorization vote by month's end could test party unity and influence trader assessments of his tenure through June or year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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