Trader consensus slightly favors Democrat Rob Sand at 51.5% over the Republican nominee at 45.5% in Iowa's open-seat gubernatorial race, reflecting a closely contested matchup driven by Governor Kim Reynolds' term limit creating the first competitive contest since 2006. Sand, the presumptive Democratic nominee after rivals were disqualified or withdrew, benefits from strong fundraising and name recognition as state auditor, with early polls like October 2025's Z to A Research showing him edging hypothetical GOP matchups. Recent GOP primary tensions escalated Thursday at the Polk County Lincoln Dinner, where Rep. Eddie Andrews demanded rival Adam Steen exit amid ballot challenges, underscoring a divided five-way Republican field ahead of the June 2 primaries. National midterm dynamics and turnout in rural districts could tip the November 3 general election balance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Iowa
Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de l'Iowa
$13,198 Vol.
$13,198 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Démocrate
52%
Républicain
45%
$13,198 Vol.
$13,198 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Démocrate
$0 Vol.
52%
Républicain
$13,198 Vol.
45%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus slightly favors Democrat Rob Sand at 51.5% over the Republican nominee at 45.5% in Iowa's open-seat gubernatorial race, reflecting a closely contested matchup driven by Governor Kim Reynolds' term limit creating the first competitive contest since 2006. Sand, the presumptive Democratic nominee after rivals were disqualified or withdrew, benefits from strong fundraising and name recognition as state auditor, with early polls like October 2025's Z to A Research showing him edging hypothetical GOP matchups. Recent GOP primary tensions escalated Thursday at the Polk County Lincoln Dinner, where Rep. Eddie Andrews demanded rival Adam Steen exit amid ballot challenges, underscoring a divided five-way Republican field ahead of the June 2 primaries. National midterm dynamics and turnout in rural districts could tip the November 3 general election balance.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volume
$13,198Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus slightly favors Democrat Rob Sand at 51.5% over the Republican nominee at 45.5% in Iowa's open-seat gubernatorial race, reflecting a closely contested matchup driven by Governor Kim Reynolds' term limit creating the first competitive contest since 2006. Sand, the presumptive Democratic nominee after rivals were disqualified or withdrew, benefits from strong fundraising and name recognition as state auditor, with early polls like October 2025's Z to A Research showing him edging hypothetical GOP matchups. Recent GOP primary tensions escalated Thursday at the Polk County Lincoln Dinner, where Rep. Eddie Andrews demanded rival Adam Steen exit amid ballot challenges, underscoring a divided five-way Republican field ahead of the June 2 primaries. National midterm dynamics and turnout in rural districts could tip the November 3 general election balance.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$13,198Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus slightly favors Democrat Rob Sand at 51.5% over the Republican nominee at 45.5% in Iowa's open-seat gubernatorial race, reflecting a closely contested matchup driven by Governor Kim Reynolds' term limit creating the first competitive contest since 2006. Sand, the presumptive Democratic nominee after rivals were disqualified or withdrew, benefits from strong fundraising and name recognition as state auditor, with early polls like October 2025's Z to A Research showing him edging hypothetical GOP matchups. Recent GOP primary tensions escalated Thursday at the Polk County Lincoln Dinner, where Rep. Eddie Andrews demanded rival Adam Steen exit amid ballot challenges, underscoring a divided five-way Republican field ahead of the June 2 primaries. National midterm dynamics and turnout in rural districts could tip the November 3 general election balance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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