State Rep. Joe Mitchell's overwhelming trader consensus at 94% in the IA-02 Republican primary reflects his momentum in the open-seat race vacated by Rep. Ashley Hinson's Senate bid, bolstered by a February Trump endorsement, NRCC inclusion in the March MAGA Majority program, and a record Q1 fundraising haul exceeding $600,000 announced April 1—outpacing rivals State Sen. Charlie McClintock and withdrawn candidate Shannon Lundgren. Absent public polls, Mitchell's early financial and institutional advantages signal strong path-to-victory among GOP primary voters in Iowa's closed primary on June 2. Upsets remain possible via scandals, late endorsements for McClintock, or voter turnout shifts in this competitive field.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourJoe Mitchell 94.3%
Charlie McClintock 3.3%
Shannon Lundgren <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 juin 2026
Joe Mitchell
94%
Charlie McClintock
3%
Shannon Lundgren
<1%
Joe Mitchell 94.3%
Charlie McClintock 3.3%
Shannon Lundgren <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
2 juin 2026
Joe Mitchell
$4,710 Vol.
94%
Charlie McClintock
$1,817 Vol.
3%
Shannon Lundgren
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Joe Mitchell's overwhelming trader consensus at 94% in the IA-02 Republican primary reflects his momentum in the open-seat race vacated by Rep. Ashley Hinson's Senate bid, bolstered by a February Trump endorsement, NRCC inclusion in the March MAGA Majority program, and a record Q1 fundraising haul exceeding $600,000 announced April 1—outpacing rivals State Sen. Charlie McClintock and withdrawn candidate Shannon Lundgren. Absent public polls, Mitchell's early financial and institutional advantages signal strong path-to-victory among GOP primary voters in Iowa's closed primary on June 2. Upsets remain possible via scandals, late endorsements for McClintock, or voter turnout shifts in this competitive field.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET
Volume
$6,528Date de fin
2 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Joe Mitchell's overwhelming trader consensus at 94% in the IA-02 Republican primary reflects his momentum in the open-seat race vacated by Rep. Ashley Hinson's Senate bid, bolstered by a February Trump endorsement, NRCC inclusion in the March MAGA Majority program, and a record Q1 fundraising haul exceeding $600,000 announced April 1—outpacing rivals State Sen. Charlie McClintock and withdrawn candidate Shannon Lundgren. Absent public polls, Mitchell's early financial and institutional advantages signal strong path-to-victory among GOP primary voters in Iowa's closed primary on June 2. Upsets remain possible via scandals, late endorsements for McClintock, or voter turnout shifts in this competitive field.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$6,528Date de fin
2 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...State Rep. Joe Mitchell's overwhelming trader consensus at 94% in the IA-02 Republican primary reflects his momentum in the open-seat race vacated by Rep. Ashley Hinson's Senate bid, bolstered by a February Trump endorsement, NRCC inclusion in the March MAGA Majority program, and a record Q1 fundraising haul exceeding $600,000 announced April 1—outpacing rivals State Sen. Charlie McClintock and withdrawn candidate Shannon Lundgren. Absent public polls, Mitchell's early financial and institutional advantages signal strong path-to-victory among GOP primary voters in Iowa's closed primary on June 2. Upsets remain possible via scandals, late endorsements for McClintock, or voter turnout shifts in this competitive field.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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