Stefany Shaheen leads the Democratic primary for New Hampshire’s open 1st congressional seat according to trader consensus, buoyed by consistent advantages in University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm polling that show her well ahead of the field amid high undecided shares. Her endorsements from every Democratic mayor in the district, combined with strong name recognition as the daughter of U.S. Senator Jeanne Shaheen and a record of local service on the Portsmouth City Council and Police Commission, have consolidated early support among party regulars and Seacoast voters. Maura Sullivan follows as the main challenger, drawing on her Marine Corps background, prior congressional bid, and robust first-quarter fundraising, though she trails in surveys. Heath Howard and Carleigh Beriont occupy smaller shares, with Howard emphasizing progressive stances on foreign policy and Beriont highlighting academic and municipal experience. The September 8 primary remains months away, leaving room for shifts from further debates, endorsements, or turnout patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourStefany Shaheen 57%
Maura Sullivan 28%
Carleigh Beriont 8%
Heath Howard 6.0%
$14,035 Vol.
$14,035 Vol.
Stefany Shaheen
57%
Maura Sullivan
28%
Carleigh Beriont
8%
Heath Howard
13%
Stefany Shaheen 57%
Maura Sullivan 28%
Carleigh Beriont 8%
Heath Howard 6.0%
$14,035 Vol.
$14,035 Vol.
Stefany Shaheen
57%
Maura Sullivan
28%
Carleigh Beriont
8%
Heath Howard
13%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Stefany Shaheen leads the Democratic primary for New Hampshire’s open 1st congressional seat according to trader consensus, buoyed by consistent advantages in University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm polling that show her well ahead of the field amid high undecided shares. Her endorsements from every Democratic mayor in the district, combined with strong name recognition as the daughter of U.S. Senator Jeanne Shaheen and a record of local service on the Portsmouth City Council and Police Commission, have consolidated early support among party regulars and Seacoast voters. Maura Sullivan follows as the main challenger, drawing on her Marine Corps background, prior congressional bid, and robust first-quarter fundraising, though she trails in surveys. Heath Howard and Carleigh Beriont occupy smaller shares, with Howard emphasizing progressive stances on foreign policy and Beriont highlighting academic and municipal experience. The September 8 primary remains months away, leaving room for shifts from further debates, endorsements, or turnout patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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