Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Stefany Shaheen at 60.5% implied probability to win the open NH-01 Democratic primary on September 10, driven by her lead in recent polls like the July American Research Group survey (32% to Maura Sullivan's 21%) and strong fundraising exceeding $750,000, bolstered by endorsements from EMILY's List, AFL-CIO, and Rep. Annie Kuster. Sullivan holds 25% on her military background and prior statewide bids, while Carleigh Beriont (11%) appeals to progressives and Heath Howard (5.2%) trails with limited visibility. Recent momentum includes Shaheen's ad launches and debate performances, though high undecideds (28%) leave room for shifts before early voting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourStefany Shaheen 61%
Maura Sullivan 25%
Carleigh Beriont 11%
Heath Howard 5.2%
Stefany Shaheen
61%
Maura Sullivan
25%
Carleigh Beriont
11%
Heath Howard
5%
Stefany Shaheen 61%
Maura Sullivan 25%
Carleigh Beriont 11%
Heath Howard 5.2%
Stefany Shaheen
61%
Maura Sullivan
25%
Carleigh Beriont
11%
Heath Howard
5%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Nov 25, 2025, 4:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Stefany Shaheen at 60.5% implied probability to win the open NH-01 Democratic primary on September 10, driven by her lead in recent polls like the July American Research Group survey (32% to Maura Sullivan's 21%) and strong fundraising exceeding $750,000, bolstered by endorsements from EMILY's List, AFL-CIO, and Rep. Annie Kuster. Sullivan holds 25% on her military background and prior statewide bids, while Carleigh Beriont (11%) appeals to progressives and Heath Howard (5.2%) trails with limited visibility. Recent momentum includes Shaheen's ad launches and debate performances, though high undecideds (28%) leave room for shifts before early voting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes