President Trump's approval rating has stabilized in the high 30s to low 40s per mid-April 2026 national polling averages like RealClearPolling (41.5% approve) and Nate Silver's tracker (net -16.6), reflecting new term lows around 38% in surveys from Quinnipiac, YouGov, and Morning Consult. The ongoing Iran war, initiated by U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, remains the dominant drag, with stalled ceasefire talks, Iranian rejections of suspensions, and Trump's recent threats to resume bombings if no deal emerges. Compounding this are economic concerns, including high gas prices and inflation perceptions worsening to 59% viewing the economy as deteriorating per Economist/YouGov data, yielding a career-low 31% economy approval in CNN polling. Erosion among independents, non-college whites, and even some Republicans heightens midterm anxieties, with traders monitoring Iran negotiations, potential congressional war powers votes, and end-of-April polls for further declines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHow low will Trump's approval rating go in April?
How low will Trump's approval rating go in April?
NOUVEAU
30 avr. 2026
39.0%
26%
38.5%
15%
38.0%
8%
37.5%
7%
37.0%
3%
$5,708 Vol.
39.0%
$813 Vol.
26%
38.5%
$1,624 Vol.
15%
38.0%
$506 Vol.
8%
37.5%
$262 Vol.
7%
37.0%
$2,504 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between April 8 and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for April 30 is not published by May 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.President Trump's approval rating has stabilized in the high 30s to low 40s per mid-April 2026 national polling averages like RealClearPolling (41.5% approve) and Nate Silver's tracker (net -16.6), reflecting new term lows around 38% in surveys from Quinnipiac, YouGov, and Morning Consult. The ongoing Iran war, initiated by U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, remains the dominant drag, with stalled ceasefire talks, Iranian rejections of suspensions, and Trump's recent threats to resume bombings if no deal emerges. Compounding this are economic concerns, including high gas prices and inflation perceptions worsening to 59% viewing the economy as deteriorating per Economist/YouGov data, yielding a career-low 31% economy approval in CNN polling. Erosion among independents, non-college whites, and even some Republicans heightens midterm anxieties, with traders monitoring Iran negotiations, potential congressional war powers votes, and end-of-April polls for further declines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between April 8 and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for April 30 is not published by May 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for April 30 is not published by May 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.
Marché ouvert : Apr 8, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$5,708Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between April 8 and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for April 30 is not published by May 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.President Trump's approval rating has stabilized in the high 30s to low 40s per mid-April 2026 national polling averages like RealClearPolling (41.5% approve) and Nate Silver's tracker (net -16.6), reflecting new term lows around 38% in surveys from Quinnipiac, YouGov, and Morning Consult. The ongoing Iran war, initiated by U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, remains the dominant drag, with stalled ceasefire talks, Iranian rejections of suspensions, and Trump's recent threats to resume bombings if no deal emerges. Compounding this are economic concerns, including high gas prices and inflation perceptions worsening to 59% viewing the economy as deteriorating per Economist/YouGov data, yielding a career-low 31% economy approval in CNN polling. Erosion among independents, non-college whites, and even some Republicans heightens midterm anxieties, with traders monitoring Iran negotiations, potential congressional war powers votes, and end-of-April polls for further declines.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between April 8 and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for April 30 is not published by May 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for April 30 is not published by May 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point.
Volume
$5,708Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's approval rating has stabilized in the high 30s to low 40s per mid-April 2026 national polling averages like RealClearPolling (41.5% approve) and Nate Silver's tracker (net -16.6), reflecting new term lows around 38% in surveys from Quinnipiac, YouGov, and Morning Consult. The ongoing Iran war, initiated by U.S.-Israeli airstrikes on February 28, remains the dominant drag, with stalled ceasefire talks, Iranian rejections of suspensions, and Trump's recent threats to resume bombings if no deal emerges. Compounding this are economic concerns, including high gas prices and inflation perceptions worsening to 59% viewing the economy as deteriorating per Economist/YouGov data, yielding a career-low 31% economy approval in CNN polling. Erosion among independents, non-college whites, and even some Republicans heightens midterm anxieties, with traders monitoring Iran negotiations, potential congressional war powers votes, and end-of-April polls for further declines.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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