Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects razor-thin uncertainty between 17°C (48%) and 18°C (46.5%) for Wuhan's highest temperature today, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast projecting a daytime peak near 18°C amid light rain and persistent cloud cover that limits solar insolation. Competing models, such as those aggregated on sites like Metcheck, indicate a slightly cooler maximum around 16-17°C if showers intensify earlier than expected, aligning with morning observations of 15-18°C under partly cloudy skies transitioning to precipitation. Historical March averages hover at 14-15°C, but recent days' variability—including yesterday's 23°C high—underscores frontal system influences; resolution hinges on official Wuhan station data, with hourly updates through afternoon potentially tipping the balance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wuhan on March 30?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 30?
17°C 56%
18°C 44%
19°C 5%
20°C 2.5%
$24,220 Vol.
$24,220 Vol.
17°C
56%
18°C
44%
19°C
5%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
1%
17°C 56%
18°C 44%
19°C 5%
20°C 2.5%
$24,220 Vol.
$24,220 Vol.
17°C
56%
18°C
44%
19°C
5%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects razor-thin uncertainty between 17°C (48%) and 18°C (46.5%) for Wuhan's highest temperature today, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast projecting a daytime peak near 18°C amid light rain and persistent cloud cover that limits solar insolation. Competing models, such as those aggregated on sites like Metcheck, indicate a slightly cooler maximum around 16-17°C if showers intensify earlier than expected, aligning with morning observations of 15-18°C under partly cloudy skies transitioning to precipitation. Historical March averages hover at 14-15°C, but recent days' variability—including yesterday's 23°C high—underscores frontal system influences; resolution hinges on official Wuhan station data, with hourly updates through afternoon potentially tipping the balance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes