Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts center Warsaw's highest temperature on April 8 around 9–10°C amid a cooling trend after warmer early-month highs, with model means implying tight clustering that aligns trader sentiment—10°C leading at 26.5%, trailed closely by 9°C (23%) and 11°C or higher (22.5%). This reflects consensus on persistent cloud cover from a weak upper-level trough and potential light drizzle, limiting daytime heating, though slight variations in frontal timing or solar insolation could differentiate outcomes by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and wind speeds; IMGW station data will resolve the market, with fresh model runs expected daily at 00Z and 12Z. Historical early April averages near 12°C provide context for the subdued outlook.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 8 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Varsovie le 8 avril ?
11°C ou plus 27%
10°C 26%
9°C 22%
8 °C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 avr. 2026
1°C ou moins
1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
4%
7°C
10%
8 °C
15%
9°C
22%
10°C
26%
11°C ou plus
27%
11°C ou plus 27%
10°C 26%
9°C 22%
8 °C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
8 avr. 2026
1°C ou moins
$386 Vol.
1%
2°C
$380 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$409 Vol.
1%
4°C
$502 Vol.
1%
5°C
$507 Vol.
1%
6°C
$0 Vol.
4%
7°C
$69 Vol.
10%
8 °C
$10 Vol.
15%
9°C
$1 Vol.
22%
10°C
$2 Vol.
26%
11°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts center Warsaw's highest temperature on April 8 around 9–10°C amid a cooling trend after warmer early-month highs, with model means implying tight clustering that aligns trader sentiment—10°C leading at 26.5%, trailed closely by 9°C (23%) and 11°C or higher (22.5%). This reflects consensus on persistent cloud cover from a weak upper-level trough and potential light drizzle, limiting daytime heating, though slight variations in frontal timing or solar insolation could differentiate outcomes by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and wind speeds; IMGW station data will resolve the market, with fresh model runs expected daily at 00Z and 12Z. Historical early April averages near 12°C provide context for the subdued outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$2,264Date de fin
8 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts center Warsaw's highest temperature on April 8 around 9–10°C amid a cooling trend after warmer early-month highs, with model means implying tight clustering that aligns trader sentiment—10°C leading at 26.5%, trailed closely by 9°C (23%) and 11°C or higher (22.5%). This reflects consensus on persistent cloud cover from a weak upper-level trough and potential light drizzle, limiting daytime heating, though slight variations in frontal timing or solar insolation could differentiate outcomes by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and wind speeds; IMGW station data will resolve the market, with fresh model runs expected daily at 00Z and 12Z. Historical early April averages near 12°C provide context for the subdued outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,264Date de fin
8 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts center Warsaw's highest temperature on April 8 around 9–10°C amid a cooling trend after warmer early-month highs, with model means implying tight clustering that aligns trader sentiment—10°C leading at 26.5%, trailed closely by 9°C (23%) and 11°C or higher (22.5%). This reflects consensus on persistent cloud cover from a weak upper-level trough and potential light drizzle, limiting daytime heating, though slight variations in frontal timing or solar insolation could differentiate outcomes by 1–2°C. Ensemble spreads highlight uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and wind speeds; IMGW station data will resolve the market, with fresh model runs expected daily at 00Z and 12Z. Historical early April averages near 12°C provide context for the subdued outlook.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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