**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 22°C in Taipei today (97.6% implied probability), driven by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projecting daytime highs of 21–22°C under cloudy skies with occasional showers from a passing frontal system.** This positioning aligns with current atmospheric conditions—cooler air masses, high cloud cover limiting solar heating, and light precipitation—suppressing temperatures below April's typical 24–25°C average. Observational data from CWA stations this morning supports peaks near 21°C so far, with model consensus showing minimal intensification potential. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for brief solar-driven warming to 23°C or brief southerly winds, though low-level shear and moisture favor stability; monitor CWA hourly updates through evening for final readings at official Taipei measurement sites.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Taipei on April 1?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 1?
22°C 98.4%
23°C 1.6%
24°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
$116,359 Vol.
$116,359 Vol.
1 avr. 2026
22°C
98%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
22°C 98.4%
23°C 1.6%
24°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
$116,359 Vol.
$116,359 Vol.
1 avr. 2026
22°C
$12,598 Vol.
98%
23°C
$6,212 Vol.
2%
24°C
$5,051 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$6,976 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 22°C in Taipei today (97.6% implied probability), driven by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projecting daytime highs of 21–22°C under cloudy skies with occasional showers from a passing frontal system.** This positioning aligns with current atmospheric conditions—cooler air masses, high cloud cover limiting solar heating, and light precipitation—suppressing temperatures below April's typical 24–25°C average. Observational data from CWA stations this morning supports peaks near 21°C so far, with model consensus showing minimal intensification potential. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for brief solar-driven warming to 23°C or brief southerly winds, though low-level shear and moisture favor stability; monitor CWA hourly updates through evening for final readings at official Taipei measurement sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Volume
$116,359Date de fin
1 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 22°C in Taipei today (97.6% implied probability), driven by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projecting daytime highs of 21–22°C under cloudy skies with occasional showers from a passing frontal system.** This positioning aligns with current atmospheric conditions—cooler air masses, high cloud cover limiting solar heating, and light precipitation—suppressing temperatures below April's typical 24–25°C average. Observational data from CWA stations this morning supports peaks near 21°C so far, with model consensus showing minimal intensification potential. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for brief solar-driven warming to 23°C or brief southerly winds, though low-level shear and moisture favor stability; monitor CWA hourly updates through evening for final readings at official Taipei measurement sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$116,359Date de fin
1 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 22°C in Taipei today (97.6% implied probability), driven by the Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projecting daytime highs of 21–22°C under cloudy skies with occasional showers from a passing frontal system.** This positioning aligns with current atmospheric conditions—cooler air masses, high cloud cover limiting solar heating, and light precipitation—suppressing temperatures below April's typical 24–25°C average. Observational data from CWA stations this morning supports peaks near 21°C so far, with model consensus showing minimal intensification potential. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing for brief solar-driven warming to 23°C or brief southerly winds, though low-level shear and moisture favor stability; monitor CWA hourly updates through evening for final readings at official Taipei measurement sites.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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