Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 72-73°F as the highest temperature in San Francisco today, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts projecting peaks in the low to mid-70s amid a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence and clear skies for enhanced insolation. This setup follows a record-shattering March heat wave earlier this month, with downtown highs exceeding 90°F, warming near-surface air masses 10°F above the 62°F climatological average. Differentiating the closely matched 68-75°F outcomes hinges on marine layer dynamics: early stratus burn-off at KSFO could push toward 74°F+, while prolonged coastal clouds cap readings at 68-70°F. Monitor hourly observations and afternoon model updates from NOAA ensembles for shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in San Francisco on March 30?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 30?
72-73°F 36%
70-71°F 27%
68-69°F 14%
66-67°F 13.4%
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
13%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
36%
74-75°F
11%
76°F or higher
10%
72-73°F 36%
70-71°F 27%
68-69°F 14%
66-67°F 13.4%
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
13%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
36%
74-75°F
11%
76°F or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 72-73°F as the highest temperature in San Francisco today, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts projecting peaks in the low to mid-70s amid a persistent upper-level ridge fostering subsidence and clear skies for enhanced insolation. This setup follows a record-shattering March heat wave earlier this month, with downtown highs exceeding 90°F, warming near-surface air masses 10°F above the 62°F climatological average. Differentiating the closely matched 68-75°F outcomes hinges on marine layer dynamics: early stratus burn-off at KSFO could push toward 74°F+, while prolonged coastal clouds cap readings at 68-70°F. Monitor hourly observations and afternoon model updates from NOAA ensembles for shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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