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Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?

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Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 31

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 31

52-53°F 33%

50-51°F 22%

48-49°F 13%

54-55°F 13%

Polymarket

$11,998 Vol.

52-53°F 33%

50-51°F 22%

48-49°F 13%

54-55°F 13%

Polymarket

$11,998 Vol.

47°F or below

$2,552 Vol.

11%

48-49°F

$811 Vol.

13%

50-51°F

$2,168 Vol.

22%

52-53°F

$1,098 Vol.

33%

54-55°F

$1,622 Vol.

13%

56-57°F

$509 Vol.

5%

58-59°F

$449 Vol.

2%

60-61°F

$1,022 Vol.

1%

62-63°F

$530 Vol.

1%

64-65°F

$527 Vol.

<1%

66°F or higher

$762 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 32% probability for a 52-53°F high in New York City on March 29, closely trailed by 50-51°F at 22.5%, reflecting tight clustering in National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting 51-54°F amid a cool mid-level trough ushering cooler air aloft and persistent stratiform cloud cover capping diurnal heating. Key differentiators include potential for partial cloud breaks allowing brief mixing to nudge toward 54-55°F, versus thicker overcast or northerly winds reinforcing sub-50°F outcomes; boundary layer stability and exact trough positioning add uncertainty, with historical March highs averaging near 52°F. Updated model runs and NWS bulletins expected overnight through Sunday morning could refine this before resolution at Central Park's official observation.

Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 32% probability for a 52-53°F high in New York City on March 29, closely trailed by 50-51°F at 22.5%, reflecting tight clustering in National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting 51-54°F amid a cool mid-level trough ushering cooler air aloft and persistent stratiform cloud cover capping diurnal heating. Key differentiators include potential for partial cloud breaks allowing brief mixing to nudge toward 54-55°F, versus thicker overcast or northerly winds reinforcing sub-50°F outcomes; boundary layer stability and exact trough positioning add uncertainty, with historical March highs averaging near 52°F. Updated model runs and NWS bulletins expected overnight through Sunday morning could refine this before resolution at Central Park's official observation.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 32% probability for a 52-53°F high in New York City on March 29, closely trailed by 50-51°F at 22.5%, reflecting tight clustering in National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting 51-54°F amid a cool mid-level trough ushering cooler air aloft and persistent stratiform cloud cover capping diurnal heating. Key differentiators include potential for partial cloud breaks allowing brief mixing to nudge toward 54-55°F, versus thicker overcast or northerly winds reinforcing sub-50°F outcomes; boundary layer stability and exact trough positioning add uncertainty, with historical March highs averaging near 52°F. Updated model runs and NWS bulletins expected overnight through Sunday morning could refine this before resolution at Central Park's official observation.

Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 32% probability for a 52-53°F high in New York City on March 29, closely trailed by 50-51°F at 22.5%, reflecting tight clustering in National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means projecting 51-54°F amid a cool mid-level trough ushering cooler air aloft and persistent stratiform cloud cover capping diurnal heating. Key differentiators include potential for partial cloud breaks allowing brief mixing to nudge toward 54-55°F, versus thicker overcast or northerly winds reinforcing sub-50°F outcomes; boundary layer stability and exact trough positioning add uncertainty, with historical March highs averaging near 52°F. Updated model runs and NWS bulletins expected overnight through Sunday morning could refine this before resolution at Central Park's official observation.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in NYC on March 29? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 52-53°F » à 33%, suivi de « 50-51°F » à 22%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 33¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 33% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Highest temperature in NYC on March 29? » a généré $12K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 25, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in NYC on March 29? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in NYC on March 29? » est « 52-53°F » à 33%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 33% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 50-51°F » à 22%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in NYC on March 29? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.