Market icon

Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

60-61°F 25%

62-63°F 23%

64-65°F 18%

58-59°F 13%

Polymarket

$18,362 Vol.

60-61°F 25%

62-63°F 23%

64-65°F 18%

58-59°F 13%

Polymarket

$18,362 Vol.

53°F ou moins

$4,604 Vol.

1%

54-55°F

$1,410 Vol.

1%

56-57°F

$2,217 Vol.

6%

58-59°F

$1,600 Vol.

13%

60-61°F

$1,287 Vol.

25%

62-63°F

$977 Vol.

23%

64-65°F

$1,010 Vol.

18%

66-67°F

$714 Vol.

6%

68-69°F

$845 Vol.

2%

70-71°F

$992 Vol.

1%

72°F or higher

$2,707 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service Chicago guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models place the March 29 high temperature at Chicago O'Hare International Airport near 62°F, driving trader consensus toward 60-65°F outcomes with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 24.5% for 60-61°F and 22.5% for 62-63°F. This above-normal outlook—late-March climatological average is 48°F—reflects southerly winds transporting a mild air mass under a developing upper-level ridge, enhancing afternoon solar insolation amid partly cloudy skies. Key differentiators include model spread in boundary-layer mixing efficiency and potential convective cloud formation, which could limit peaks to 60-61°F or permit 64-65°F under clearer conditions; minimal shifts in recent 12Z runs, but tonight's 00Z updates may sharpen resolution probabilities based on official O'Hare observations.

National Weather Service Chicago guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models place the March 29 high temperature at Chicago O'Hare International Airport near 62°F, driving trader consensus toward 60-65°F outcomes with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 24.5% for 60-61°F and 22.5% for 62-63°F. This above-normal outlook—late-March climatological average is 48°F—reflects southerly winds transporting a mild air mass under a developing upper-level ridge, enhancing afternoon solar insolation amid partly cloudy skies. Key differentiators include model spread in boundary-layer mixing efficiency and potential convective cloud formation, which could limit peaks to 60-61°F or permit 64-65°F under clearer conditions; minimal shifts in recent 12Z runs, but tonight's 00Z updates may sharpen resolution probabilities based on official O'Hare observations.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service Chicago guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models place the March 29 high temperature at Chicago O'Hare International Airport near 62°F, driving trader consensus toward 60-65°F outcomes with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 24.5% for 60-61°F and 22.5% for 62-63°F. This above-normal outlook—late-March climatological average is 48°F—reflects southerly winds transporting a mild air mass under a developing upper-level ridge, enhancing afternoon solar insolation amid partly cloudy skies. Key differentiators include model spread in boundary-layer mixing efficiency and potential convective cloud formation, which could limit peaks to 60-61°F or permit 64-65°F under clearer conditions; minimal shifts in recent 12Z runs, but tonight's 00Z updates may sharpen resolution probabilities based on official O'Hare observations.

National Weather Service Chicago guidance and ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models place the March 29 high temperature at Chicago O'Hare International Airport near 62°F, driving trader consensus toward 60-65°F outcomes with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 24.5% for 60-61°F and 22.5% for 62-63°F. This above-normal outlook—late-March climatological average is 48°F—reflects southerly winds transporting a mild air mass under a developing upper-level ridge, enhancing afternoon solar insolation amid partly cloudy skies. Key differentiators include model spread in boundary-layer mixing efficiency and potential convective cloud formation, which could limit peaks to 60-61°F or permit 64-65°F under clearer conditions; minimal shifts in recent 12Z runs, but tonight's 00Z updates may sharpen resolution probabilities based on official O'Hare observations.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 60-61°F » à 25%, suivi de « 62-63°F » à 23%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 25¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 25% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29? » a généré $18.4K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 25, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29? » est « 60-61°F » à 25%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 25% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 62-63°F » à 23%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in Chicago on March 29? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.