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Highest temperature in Austin on March 29?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Austin on March 29?

Mar 29

Mar 29

84-85°F 41%

82-83°F 24%

86-87°F 21%

88-89°F 6.6%

Polymarket

$86,851 Vol.

84-85°F 41%

82-83°F 24%

86-87°F 21%

88-89°F 6.6%

Polymarket

$86,851 Vol.

73°F or below

$36,107 Vol.

<1%

74-75°F

$18,080 Vol.

<1%

76-77°F

$3,912 Vol.

4%

78-79°F

$3,188 Vol.

2%

80-81°F

$7,308 Vol.

3%

82-83°F

$3,010 Vol.

24%

84-85°F

$2,842 Vol.

41%

86-87°F

$3,221 Vol.

21%

88-89°F

$2,059 Vol.

7%

90-91°F

$4,122 Vol.

3%

92°F or higher

$3,003 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 84-85°F (44.5% implied probability) in Austin today, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a peak near 86°F under mostly sunny skies and light south winds of 5-10 mph, reflecting a resumption of above-normal warmth following a cold front on March 27. March 2026 has been exceptionally hot so far, with monthly averages running 7°F above the climatological norm of around 77°F due to a persistent upper-level ridge over Texas, boosting southerly flow and daytime heating. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show slight spread in peak temperatures (83-87°F range), contributing to hedging across nearby bins amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty; real-time observations from Austin-Bergstrom will refine this as the afternoon progresses toward sunset around 7:48 PM CDT.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 84-85°F (44.5% implied probability) in Austin today, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a peak near 86°F under mostly sunny skies and light south winds of 5-10 mph, reflecting a resumption of above-normal warmth following a cold front on March 27. March 2026 has been exceptionally hot so far, with monthly averages running 7°F above the climatological norm of around 77°F due to a persistent upper-level ridge over Texas, boosting southerly flow and daytime heating. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show slight spread in peak temperatures (83-87°F range), contributing to hedging across nearby bins amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty; real-time observations from Austin-Bergstrom will refine this as the afternoon progresses toward sunset around 7:48 PM CDT.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 84-85°F (44.5% implied probability) in Austin today, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a peak near 86°F under mostly sunny skies and light south winds of 5-10 mph, reflecting a resumption of above-normal warmth following a cold front on March 27. March 2026 has been exceptionally hot so far, with monthly averages running 7°F above the climatological norm of around 77°F due to a persistent upper-level ridge over Texas, boosting southerly flow and daytime heating. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show slight spread in peak temperatures (83-87°F range), contributing to hedging across nearby bins amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty; real-time observations from Austin-Bergstrom will refine this as the afternoon progresses toward sunset around 7:48 PM CDT.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 84-85°F (44.5% implied probability) in Austin today, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast projecting a peak near 86°F under mostly sunny skies and light south winds of 5-10 mph, reflecting a resumption of above-normal warmth following a cold front on March 27. March 2026 has been exceptionally hot so far, with monthly averages running 7°F above the climatological norm of around 77°F due to a persistent upper-level ridge over Texas, boosting southerly flow and daytime heating. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show slight spread in peak temperatures (83-87°F range), contributing to hedging across nearby bins amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty; real-time observations from Austin-Bergstrom will refine this as the afternoon progresses toward sunset around 7:48 PM CDT.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in Austin on March 29? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 84-85°F » à 41%, suivi de « 82-83°F » à 24%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 41¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 41% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Highest temperature in Austin on March 29? » a généré $86.9K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 25, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in Austin on March 29? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in Austin on March 29? » est « 84-85°F » à 41%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 41% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 82-83°F » à 24%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in Austin on March 29? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.