Météo-France's latest forecast, issued March 29, projects a 13°C maximum temperature in Paris on March 30 under northwest winds of 20-25 km/h with morning overcast skies giving way to afternoon clearings, closely tracking trader consensus where 12°C (42%) edges 13°C (38.5%). This tight split reflects ensemble model uncertainty from ECMWF and GFS, with spreads driven by variable cloud cover impacting peak afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing; fuller clearing could yield 13°C, while persistent clouds cap at 12°C. Following March 28's observed 11°C high amid showers, late-March climatology supports 11-13°C norms. Hourly observations from official stations will resolve midday March 30.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Paris le 30 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Paris le 30 mars ?
12°C 42%
13°C 38%
11°C 12%
14°C 8%
$20,314 Vol.
$20,314 Vol.
7°C ou moins
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
12%
12°C
42%
13°C
38%
14°C
8%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C ou plus
<1%
12°C 42%
13°C 38%
11°C 12%
14°C 8%
$20,314 Vol.
$20,314 Vol.
7°C ou moins
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
12%
12°C
42%
13°C
38%
14°C
8%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 1:48 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Météo-France's latest forecast, issued March 29, projects a 13°C maximum temperature in Paris on March 30 under northwest winds of 20-25 km/h with morning overcast skies giving way to afternoon clearings, closely tracking trader consensus where 12°C (42%) edges 13°C (38.5%). This tight split reflects ensemble model uncertainty from ECMWF and GFS, with spreads driven by variable cloud cover impacting peak afternoon insolation and boundary-layer mixing; fuller clearing could yield 13°C, while persistent clouds cap at 12°C. Following March 28's observed 11°C high amid showers, late-March climatology supports 11-13°C norms. Hourly observations from official stations will resolve midday March 30.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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