Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the National Weather Service's latest forecast for Seattle's high temperature today near 48°F under persistent rain showers and southwesterly winds, with closely matched implied probabilities for 48-49°F (33%) and 50-51°F (37%) driven by uncertainty in afternoon cloud breaks and marine layer persistence. Recent atmospheric rivers through mid-March have entrenched cooler-than-normal conditions across the Pacific Northwest—well below the March 30 climatological average of 56°F—favoring subdued highs amid cool air advection and overcast skies. Model ensembles show slight divergence on peak heating potential before evening showers, with official observations from Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) resolving the market; hourly updates this afternoon could shift odds further.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Seattle le 30 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Seattle le 30 mars ?
48-49°F 34%
50-51°F 33%
52-53°F 17%
46-47°F 8%
$11,464 Vol.
$11,464 Vol.
41°F ou moins
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45 °F
2%
46-47°F
8%
48-49°F
34%
50-51°F
33%
52-53°F
17%
54-55°F
2%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60°F ou plus
<1%
48-49°F 34%
50-51°F 33%
52-53°F 17%
46-47°F 8%
$11,464 Vol.
$11,464 Vol.
41°F ou moins
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45 °F
2%
46-47°F
8%
48-49°F
34%
50-51°F
33%
52-53°F
17%
54-55°F
2%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60°F ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the National Weather Service's latest forecast for Seattle's high temperature today near 48°F under persistent rain showers and southwesterly winds, with closely matched implied probabilities for 48-49°F (33%) and 50-51°F (37%) driven by uncertainty in afternoon cloud breaks and marine layer persistence. Recent atmospheric rivers through mid-March have entrenched cooler-than-normal conditions across the Pacific Northwest—well below the March 30 climatological average of 56°F—favoring subdued highs amid cool air advection and overcast skies. Model ensembles show slight divergence on peak heating potential before evening showers, with official observations from Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) resolving the market; hourly updates this afternoon could shift odds further.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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