Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an 80-81°F high in Atlanta on March 26 at 48% implied probability, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast and model ensemble consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs, which project a peak around 81°F under a dominant high-pressure ridge ushering mild Gulf of Mexico air northward. Recent 24-hour updates show minimal spread, with initialized temperatures stabilizing after earlier runs hinted at 78-82°F variability due to light southerly winds and ample sunshine boosting daytime heating. Late March climatology averages 64°F highs, making this outlook notably above normal amid broader Southeast warming trends, though minor uncertainties persist from potential afternoon cumulus clouds or frontal timing shifts. Watch for NWS hourly guidance this afternoon for final refinements ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Atlanta le 26 mars ?
La température la plus élevée à Atlanta le 26 mars ?
80-81°F 51%
82-83 °F 30%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 2.8%
$68,369 Vol.
$68,369 Vol.
71°F ou moins
<1%
72-73 °F
1%
74-75 °F
1%
76-77 °F
2%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
51%
82-83 °F
30%
84-85°F
3%
86-87 °F
1%
88-89 °F
<1%
90°F ou plus
<1%
80-81°F 51%
82-83 °F 30%
78-79°F 16%
84-85°F 2.8%
$68,369 Vol.
$68,369 Vol.
71°F ou moins
<1%
72-73 °F
1%
74-75 °F
1%
76-77 °F
2%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
51%
82-83 °F
30%
84-85°F
3%
86-87 °F
1%
88-89 °F
<1%
90°F ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors an 80-81°F high in Atlanta on March 26 at 48% implied probability, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast and model ensemble consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs, which project a peak around 81°F under a dominant high-pressure ridge ushering mild Gulf of Mexico air northward. Recent 24-hour updates show minimal spread, with initialized temperatures stabilizing after earlier runs hinted at 78-82°F variability due to light southerly winds and ample sunshine boosting daytime heating. Late March climatology averages 64°F highs, making this outlook notably above normal amid broader Southeast warming trends, though minor uncertainties persist from potential afternoon cumulus clouds or frontal timing shifts. Watch for NWS hourly guidance this afternoon for final refinements ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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