Trader sentiment for Gold (GC) end-of-March settlement hinges on a steep 15% monthly correction—the worst since 2008—with front-month futures stabilizing near $4,490/oz amid a firmer U.S. dollar (DXY at 100.4) and climbing 10-year Treasury yields to 4.35%, pressuring non-yielding assets via elevated real rates. Profit-taking post-rally, triggered by March FOMC signals, outweighed supports from central bank buying and geopolitical flares like U.S.-Iran tensions, though Fed Chair Powell's dovish remarks fueled recent dip-buying. As the final trading day unfolds, Polymarket odds capture capital-weighted consensus on threshold breaches, with intraday catalysts like economic data or risk events poised to sway closing levels.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourOr (GC) au-dessus de ___ fin mars ?
Or (GC) au-dessus de ___ fin mars ?
$183,628 Vol.
7 000 $
<1%
6 500 $
<1%
6 000 $
<1%
5 800 $
<1%
5 600 $
<1%
5 400 $
<1%
5 200 $
<1%
5 000 $
1%
4 800 $
1%
4 600 $
61%
4 400 $
92%
4 000 $
99%
$183,628 Vol.
7 000 $
<1%
6 500 $
<1%
6 000 $
<1%
5 800 $
<1%
5 600 $
<1%
5 400 $
<1%
5 200 $
<1%
5 000 $
1%
4 800 $
1%
4 600 $
61%
4 400 $
92%
4 000 $
99%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Marché ouvert : Mar 3, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment for Gold (GC) end-of-March settlement hinges on a steep 15% monthly correction—the worst since 2008—with front-month futures stabilizing near $4,490/oz amid a firmer U.S. dollar (DXY at 100.4) and climbing 10-year Treasury yields to 4.35%, pressuring non-yielding assets via elevated real rates. Profit-taking post-rally, triggered by March FOMC signals, outweighed supports from central bank buying and geopolitical flares like U.S.-Iran tensions, though Fed Chair Powell's dovish remarks fueled recent dip-buying. As the final trading day unfolds, Polymarket odds capture capital-weighted consensus on threshold breaches, with intraday catalysts like economic data or risk events poised to sway closing levels.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes