With Georgia's May 19 primaries seven weeks away in this open-seat gubernatorial race—incumbent Brian Kemp term-limited—trader consensus favors Democrats at 59% implied probability, driven by former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms' dominant primary polling lead of 35-43% in recent Emerson College (March) and University of Georgia surveys, far ahead of rivals like Geoff Duncan and Mike Thurmond. The GOP primary remains fragmented, with healthcare executive Rick Jackson averaging 26% across five polls but facing competition from Lt. Gov. Burt Jones (20%) amid infighting, including Jackson's February lawsuit against Jones over campaign finance. As a battleground state with strong Democratic turnout in metro Atlanta, recent GOP barbs and lack of general election polls underscore the closely contested dynamics ahead of November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Géorgie
Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Géorgie
$30,184 Vol.
$30,184 Vol.

Démocrate
60%

Républicain
40%
$30,184 Vol.
$30,184 Vol.

Démocrate
60%

Républicain
40%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...With Georgia's May 19 primaries seven weeks away in this open-seat gubernatorial race—incumbent Brian Kemp term-limited—trader consensus favors Democrats at 59% implied probability, driven by former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms' dominant primary polling lead of 35-43% in recent Emerson College (March) and University of Georgia surveys, far ahead of rivals like Geoff Duncan and Mike Thurmond. The GOP primary remains fragmented, with healthcare executive Rick Jackson averaging 26% across five polls but facing competition from Lt. Gov. Burt Jones (20%) amid infighting, including Jackson's February lawsuit against Jones over campaign finance. As a battleground state with strong Democratic turnout in metro Atlanta, recent GOP barbs and lack of general election polls underscore the closely contested dynamics ahead of November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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