Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Democrats a 59.5% implied probability to win Georgia's open-seat gubernatorial race on November 3, 2026, reflecting a fragmented Republican primary that could yield a weakened nominee after the May 19 contest and potential June 16 runoff. Recent polls, including JMC Analytics (March 9) showing self-funded healthcare executive Rick Jackson at 37% amid a crowded eight-candidate field with Lt. Gov. Burt Jones at 22%, highlight GOP infighting, including Jackson's defamation lawsuit against Jones over attack ads. Democrats appear more unified behind former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms (35% in late February polling), with high undecideds but fewer contenders. No general election polls exist yet, but Georgia's battleground dynamics and Democrats' 2025 Public Service Commission victories bolster the edge ahead of primaries.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Géorgie
Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Géorgie
$30,174 Vol.
$30,174 Vol.

Démocrate
60%

Républicain
40%
$30,174 Vol.
$30,174 Vol.

Démocrate
60%

Républicain
40%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Democrats a 59.5% implied probability to win Georgia's open-seat gubernatorial race on November 3, 2026, reflecting a fragmented Republican primary that could yield a weakened nominee after the May 19 contest and potential June 16 runoff. Recent polls, including JMC Analytics (March 9) showing self-funded healthcare executive Rick Jackson at 37% amid a crowded eight-candidate field with Lt. Gov. Burt Jones at 22%, highlight GOP infighting, including Jackson's defamation lawsuit against Jones over attack ads. Democrats appear more unified behind former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms (35% in late February polling), with high undecideds but fewer contenders. No general election polls exist yet, but Georgia's battleground dynamics and Democrats' 2025 Public Service Commission victories bolster the edge ahead of primaries.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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