In Georgia's 11th Congressional District Republican primary on May 19, trader consensus favors Rob Adkerson at 50% implied probability over Tricia Pridemore at 40.5%, reflecting a tight open-seat race following incumbent Barry Loudermilk's February retirement announcement. Recent candidate forums in Cherokee County on March 20 and Bartow County on March 24 featured top contenders including Adkerson, Pridemore, and others like John Cowan, but produced no decisive separation amid a fragmented eight-candidate field lacking major endorsements from figures like President Trump or Gov. Brian Kemp and no public polling. Dynamics remain fluid in this safe Republican district, with vote-splitting risks prompting potential runoff; separation could arise from high-profile endorsements, FEC fundraising disclosures, or standout debate performances before early voting begins in late April.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourGA-11 Republican Primary Winner
GA-11 Republican Primary Winner
John Hobbs 46%
Chris Mora 46%
Lisa Carlquist 44%
Uloma Ekpete Kama 41.0%
John Hobbs
46%
Chris Mora
46%
Lisa Carlquist
44%
Uloma Ekpete Kama
41%
John Cowan
41%
Tricia Pridemore
29%
William Brown
12%
Rob Adkerson
47%
John Hobbs 46%
Chris Mora 46%
Lisa Carlquist 44%
Uloma Ekpete Kama 41.0%
John Hobbs
46%
Chris Mora
46%
Lisa Carlquist
44%
Uloma Ekpete Kama
41%
John Cowan
41%
Tricia Pridemore
29%
William Brown
12%
Rob Adkerson
47%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In Georgia's 11th Congressional District Republican primary on May 19, trader consensus favors Rob Adkerson at 50% implied probability over Tricia Pridemore at 40.5%, reflecting a tight open-seat race following incumbent Barry Loudermilk's February retirement announcement. Recent candidate forums in Cherokee County on March 20 and Bartow County on March 24 featured top contenders including Adkerson, Pridemore, and others like John Cowan, but produced no decisive separation amid a fragmented eight-candidate field lacking major endorsements from figures like President Trump or Gov. Brian Kemp and no public polling. Dynamics remain fluid in this safe Republican district, with vote-splitting risks prompting potential runoff; separation could arise from high-profile endorsements, FEC fundraising disclosures, or standout debate performances before early voting begins in late April.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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